Still going strong? The role of traditional media in the 2021 Dutch parliamentary elections.

IF 1.4 3区社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Acta Politica Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI:10.1057/s41269-022-00270-7

Susan Vermeer, Annelien Van Remoortere, Rens Vliegenthart

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Previous research has demonstrated that both visibility of parties, party leaders, candidates, and topics, and the sentiment of this coverage can affect people's decision in the ballot box. Most of this research was, however, done in the period before social media gained importance which has drastically changed the media consumption of citizens. The main aim of this paper is to investigate whether, and if so to what extent, traditional media use during the 2021 Dutch parliamentary elections has (still) affected vote choice in this era of social media. To study this, two-wave panel survey data from the Dutch Parliamentary Election Survey (DPES) are combined with an automated content analysis of newspaper articles (N = 35,511). We created respondent-specific content variables to conduct a linkage analysis. Our analysis, relying on a pooled analysis of respondent-party combinations (N = 54,162), demonstrates that political parties profit electorally from being visible in both newspapers and online outlets. This is in particular true for parties that are not part of parliament yet, thus increasing the further fragmentation and division in Dutch politics. Contrary to the expectations, sentiment in online media has a negative effect, with negative coverage increasing electoral support.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1057/s41269-022-00270-7.

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还很强壮吗？传统媒体在2021年荷兰议会选举中的作用

先前的研究表明，政党、政党领导人、候选人和话题的可见度，以及这种报道的情绪，都可以影响人们在投票箱中的决定。然而，大多数研究都是在社交媒体变得重要之前完成的，社交媒体已经彻底改变了公民的媒体消费。本文的主要目的是调查2021年荷兰议会选举期间传统媒体的使用是否，以及在多大程度上影响了这个社交媒体时代的投票选择。为了研究这一点，我们将荷兰议会选举调查（DPES）的两波面板调查数据与报纸文章（N = 35,511）的自动内容分析相结合。我们创建了特定于被调查者的内容变量来进行链接分析。我们的分析依赖于对受访者政党组合（N = 54,162）的汇总分析，表明政党从报纸和网络媒体的可见性中获利。对于那些还不是议会成员的政党来说尤其如此，这进一步加剧了荷兰政治的分裂和分裂。与预期相反，网络媒体的情绪具有负面影响，负面报道增加了选举支持度。补充信息：在线版本包含补充资料，提供地址为10.1057/s41269-022-00270-7。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Acta Politica POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

2.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Political Science with an Edge Acta Politica is one of the few truly international political science journals with a broad scope across the discipline. In the past we have published theoretical and empirical articles, comparative and single-country studies and even some methodological notes. In times of an ever-increasing specialisation in political science, we however strongly believe a broad-ranging political science journal is as important as ever for the international scientific community. As Editors, we have a strong preference for articles that will attract a wide audience within the broader field of political science, no matter what the precise topic of the article might be. Despite this broad scope Acta Politica is very selective about the quality of the articles that it publishes. Acta Politica has always been committed to publishing articles with an ''edge''; providing new insights or new approaches in political science. At the end of the review process, we always ask the question: ''What did we learn from this article?'' Our aim is to provide an exciting read, whether you are interested in political theory or quantitative research methods. Our goal is to select those articles that bring with them a substantive theoretical background, while demonstrating how these ideas can be used in empirical research. On the other hand, we welcome empirical articles introducing new ways to incorporate or to test theoretical discussions which are highly interesting to our readers. Acta Politica follows a double blind review policy, and our acceptance rate stands at about 35 per cent, ensuring that all the articles we publish meet high academic standards. These standards are, and will remain, our ultimate criteria of judgment for inclusion in the journal. We welcome articles on a broad range of topics, and using a wide array of methods. While in the past most authors publishing in Acta Politica tended to come from Europe, we now also attract more articles from the United States, Canada and the rest of the world. Our aim is to provide authors with substantive feedback within three months of receipt of manuscript. Acta Politica is committed to publishing relevant political science research, and we invite you to share that commitment, either by subscribing to the journal or recommending it to your library, or by considering Acta Politica when choosing a journal to publish your own research. Potential authors are invited to contact the Editors at acta.politica@fsw.leidenuniv.nl with informal enquiries regarding suitability of their manuscript.