Trade Integration and Production Disintegration of Manufacturing Industries: India in Global Platform

Anusree Paul, A. Barua
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Abstract

The bulk of the world trade in commodities now a days consist of intermediate goods, which play an essential role in production and creation of value-added. As a consequence, the global production process is getting much more integrated today than ever before. To understand and examine this internationalisation in Indian manufacturing industries, using World Input–Output Database (WIOD), we have estimated the foreign and domestic value-added contents in export and output of Indian manufacturing for the period 2000 to 2014. Further, to complement this analysis, we have also performed regression estimations to identify the relationship between export, imported inputs use, and output growth of Indian manufacturing industries. Our study reveals low usage of domestic inputs use and more usage of imported inputs. These indicate stronger backward linkages in production and weak forward linkages in global consumption and production networks. Regression analysis also strengthens the finding of higher backward participation of the manufacturing sector. We have employed panel vector error correction model, fully modified ordinary least square and dynamic OLS models. Our results reveal a robust long-run causality between imported inputs usage and export-growth of the sector. JEL Codes: C33, C67, F14, F15
制造业的贸易一体化与生产解体:全球平台中的印度
如今,世界大宗商品贸易的大部分都是中间产品,它们在生产和创造增值方面发挥着重要作用。因此,今天的全球生产过程比以往任何时候都更加一体化。为了了解和检验印度制造业的国际化,我们使用世界投入产出数据库(WIOD)估计了2000年至2014年期间印度制造业出口和产出的国内外增值内容。此外,为了补充这一分析,我们还进行了回归估计,以确定印度制造业的出口、进口投入使用和产出增长之间的关系。我们的研究表明,国内投入使用率较低,进口投入使用率较高。这表明生产中的后向联系更强,而全球消费和生产网络中的前向联系较弱。回归分析也加强了制造业更高的落后参与度的发现。我们采用了面板矢量误差校正模型、完全修正的普通最小二乘法和动态OLS模型。我们的研究结果揭示了该行业进口投入使用和出口增长之间的长期因果关系。JEL代码:C33、C67、F14、F15
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