A stochastic approach to number of corona virus cases

IF 0.3 Q4 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
H. Ünözkan, M. Yilmaz, A.M. Dere
{"title":"A stochastic approach to number of corona virus cases","authors":"H. Ünözkan, M. Yilmaz, A.M. Dere","doi":"10.2478/jamsi-2020-0010","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper introduces a stochastic approach to case numbers of a pandemic disease. By defining the stochastic process random walk process is used. Some stochastic aspects for this disease are argued before stochastic study is started. During random walk process modeling new patients, recovering patients and dead conclusions are modelled and probabilities changes in some stages. Let the structure of this study includes vanishing process as a walk step, some wave happenings like big differences about spread speed as a big step in treatment- an effective vaccine or an influential chemical usage- a second corona virus pumping with virus mutation, a second global happening which bumping virus spread are defined as stages. This study only simulates a stochastic process of corona virus effects.","PeriodicalId":43016,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Mathematics Statistics and Informatics","volume":"16 1","pages":"67 - 83"},"PeriodicalIF":0.3000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Applied Mathematics Statistics and Informatics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2478/jamsi-2020-0010","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract This paper introduces a stochastic approach to case numbers of a pandemic disease. By defining the stochastic process random walk process is used. Some stochastic aspects for this disease are argued before stochastic study is started. During random walk process modeling new patients, recovering patients and dead conclusions are modelled and probabilities changes in some stages. Let the structure of this study includes vanishing process as a walk step, some wave happenings like big differences about spread speed as a big step in treatment- an effective vaccine or an influential chemical usage- a second corona virus pumping with virus mutation, a second global happening which bumping virus spread are defined as stages. This study only simulates a stochastic process of corona virus effects.
冠状病毒病例数的随机方法
摘要本文介绍了一种计算大流行性疾病病例数的随机方法。通过定义随机过程,使用随机游动过程。在随机研究开始之前,对这种疾病的一些随机方面进行了讨论。在随机行走过程中,对新患者、康复患者和死亡患者进行建模,并对某些阶段的概率变化进行建模。让这项研究的结构包括消失过程作为一个步行步骤,一些波动性事件,比如传播速度的巨大差异作为治疗的一大步——有效的疫苗或有影响力的化学使用——第二次冠状病毒携带病毒突变,第二次全球事件,将病毒传播定义为阶段。这项研究只模拟了冠状病毒影响的随机过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
审稿时长
20 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信