An investigation of key precursors of megaproject crises

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
Aimin Wang
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

PurposeDetecting precursory signals is critical to increasing the resilience of megaprojects to crises. This study aims to investigate key crisis precursors to better apprehend traces of megaproject crises and proactively respond to approaching crises, thereby increasing project resilience.Design/methodology/approachDrawing on the theory of weak signals, 25 potential precursors of megaproject crises are extracted. Using exploratory structural equation modeling (ESEM), four models were tested to identify key crisis precursors based on a questionnaire survey of 168 megaproject participants in China. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was employed to examine the differences in participants’ perceptions of key crisis precursors.FindingsFour key crisis precursors were identified: Imbalance of Benefits and Costs, Irresponsible and Unqualified Key Participants, Regulatory Mechanisms Lacking Transparency and Flexibility, and Information Uncertainty and Asymmetry. Compared with senior executives, team members think that key crisis precursors related to regulatory mechanisms and key participants are more likely to trigger crises, which affects responsive actions toward detected crisis precursors. The findings help identify problems at an early stage and enable timely intervention to mitigate crises.Research limitations/implicationsDetection of key crisis precursors allows for proactive and targeted actions to mitigate crises. Megaproject development is affected by institutional mechanisms. The influence of institutions on the effectiveness of crisis management needs further investigation.Originality/valueLimited attention has been paid to recognizing precursors of megaproject crises. This study identifies four key crisis precursors by uncovering the interrelationships among potential precursors, which enables rapid adaptation to future crises.
大型项目危机的关键前兆调查
目的检测前兆信号对于提高大型项目应对危机的能力至关重要。本研究旨在调查关键的危机前兆,以更好地了解大型项目危机的痕迹,并积极应对即将到来的危机,从而提高项目的应变能力。设计/方法论/方法利用弱信号理论,提取了25个大型项目危机的潜在前兆。基于对中国168名大型项目参与者的问卷调查,使用探索性结构方程模型(ESEM),对四个模型进行了测试,以确定关键的危机前兆。采用方差分析(ANOVA)来检验参与者对关键危机前兆的认知差异。发现了四个关键的危机前兆:利益和成本失衡、不负责任和不合格的关键参与者、缺乏透明度和灵活性的监管机制以及信息的不确定性和不对称性。与高级管理人员相比,团队成员认为与监管机制和关键参与者相关的关键危机前兆更有可能引发危机,从而影响对检测到的危机前兆的响应行动。这些发现有助于在早期阶段发现问题,并使及时干预能够缓解危机。研究局限性/影响检测关键危机前兆可以采取积极和有针对性的行动来缓解危机。大型项目的发展受到体制机制的影响。制度对危机管理有效性的影响需要进一步调查。独创性/价值对识别大型项目危机的前兆关注有限。这项研究通过揭示潜在前兆之间的相互关系,确定了四个关键的危机前兆,从而能够快速适应未来的危机。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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