Analysis of Change Points With Bayes Factor, Thresholds, and CUSUM

Lucila Muniz Merino, Bulmaro Juárez Hernández, Hugo Adán Cruz Suárez
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Abstract

In this work, an analysis of change points is made with the Bayes factor, thresholds, and cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics methods. For the analysis of change points with the Bayes factor, Poisson data were simulated; the threshold method was worked with a regression and data of the National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI) of Mexico and coronavirus were used for the CUSUM.
用Bayes因子、阈值和CUSUM分析变化点
在这项工作中,用贝叶斯因子、阈值和累积和(CUSUM)统计方法对变化点进行了分析。为了用贝叶斯因子分析变化点,模拟了泊松数据;阈值方法采用回归方法,墨西哥国家统计、地理和信息学研究所(INEGI)的数据和冠状病毒用于CUSUM。
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