Climatologia das Ondas de Calor Registradas no Estado do Pará, Brasil

Q4 Social Sciences
T. B. Mandú, Ana Verônica Silva do Nascimento, Eduardo Almeida Da Silva, Maria Uilhiana Gomes De Andrade, Matheus Henrique Bezerra De Melo, Ana Maria Isar dos Santos Gomes
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Este trabalho teve por objetivo caracterizar as ondas de calor observadas no estado do Pará, região Norte do Brasil, durante 40 anos. Foram utilizados dados diários de temperatura máxima do ar para o período de janeiro de 1980 a dezembro de 2019 de 15 estações meteorológicas convencionais situadas na região de estudo. A Análise de Cluster foi empregada a fim de identificar regiões homogêneas de temperatura máxima do ar enquanto que a identificação das ondas de calor foi realizada usando os índices CTX90pct e GDE. Os resultados apontam por meio da Análise de Cluster que existem 3 regiões com comportamento homogêneo da temperatura máxima do ar, sendo a maior variabilidade na escala interanual, com destaque para os anos de 1998, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2016 que apresentaram o maior número de eventos registrados. A análise permitiu verificar que as ondas de calor apresentam similaridades espaço-temporal, com elevada variabilidade interanual e sazonal, informações que podem servir de subsídio para implementação de medidas públicas que visem reduzir os impactos negativos que as ondas de calor podem causar na população paraense.Palavras-Chave: Amazônia; desastres naturais; eventos climáticos extremos   Climatology of Heat Waves in The State of Pará, Brazil A B S T R A C THeat Waves (HW) are one of the extreme climatic events that most impact the various branches of society. This study aimed to characterize the HW observed in the state of Pará, northern Brazil, for 40 years. Daily data of maximum air temperature were used for the period from January 1980 to December 2019, from 15 conventional meteorological stations located in the study region. Cluster Analysis was used to identify homogeneous regions of maximum air temperature, while the identification of HW was performed using the CTX90pct and DD indices on an annual, seasonal and monthly scale. Six characteristics of HW were evaluated: occurrence, frequency, mean duration, mean intensity, maximum intensity and severity degree, so that through student's t-test it was verified whether the means of the characteristics of the HW are equal between the clusters. The results indicate through CA that there are 3 regions with homogeneous behavior of maximum air temperature, being the greatest variability in the interannual scale, especially for the years 1998, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2016 that presented the highest number of events recorded. The t-test showed that in clusters, for the six characteristics, a similarity in the mean behavior is observed, indicating that the events of HW present spatial similarity in the state. The analysis allowed us to verify that HW present space-temporal similarities, with high interannual and seasonal variability, information that can serve as a subsidy for the implementation of public measures aimed at reducing the negative impacts that heat waves can cause on the population of Pará state.Keywords: Amazon; natural disasters; extreme weather events
巴西帕拉州记录的热浪气候
这项研究旨在描述40年来在巴西北部帕拉州观测到的热浪。使用了1980年1月至2019年12月期间位于研究区域的15个常规气象站的每日最高气温数据。使用聚类分析来识别最高气温的均匀区域,同时使用CTX90pct和GDE指数来识别热浪。聚类分析结果表明,有3个地区的最高气温表现均匀,年际尺度变化最大,尤其是1998年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2016年出现的记录事件最多。该分析使我们能够验证热浪具有时空相似性,具有较高的年际和季节变化性,这些信息可以作为实施旨在减少热浪对帕拉人口造成的负面影响的公共措施的补贴。关键词:亚马逊;自然灾害;巴西帕拉州热浪气候A B S T R A C热浪(HW)是对社会各阶层影响最大的极端气候事件之一。本研究旨在描述40年来在巴西北部帕拉州观测到的HW。使用了1980年1月至2019年12月期间研究区域15个常规气象站的最高气温日数据。聚类分析用于识别最高气温的均匀区域,而HW的识别则使用年度、季节和月度的CTX90pct和DD指数进行。评估了HW的六个特征:发生率、频率、平均持续时间、平均强度、最大强度和严重程度,通过学生t检验验证了集群之间HW特征的平均值是否相等。结果表明,通过CA,有3个地区的最高气温表现均匀,是年际尺度上变化最大的地区,尤其是1998年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2016年,出现的事件数量最多。t检验表明,在聚类中,对于这六个特征,观察到平均行为的相似性,表明HW事件在状态中存在空间相似性。该分析使我们能够验证HW具有时空相似性,具有较高的年际和季节变化性,这些信息可以作为实施公共措施的补贴,旨在减少热浪对帕拉州人口造成的负面影响。关键词:亚马逊;自然灾害;极端天气事件
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来源期刊
Revista Brasileira de Geografia Fisica
Revista Brasileira de Geografia Fisica Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
187
审稿时长
20 weeks
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