Tide Prediction in Prigi Beach using Support Vector Regression (SVR) Method

Abstract

Purpose: Prigi Beach has the largest fishing port in East Java, but the topography of this beach is quite gentle, so it is prone to disasters such as tidal flooding. The tides of seawater strongly influence the occurrence of this natural event. Therefore, information on tidal level data is essential. This study aims to provide information about tidal predictions.Methods: In this case using the SVE method. Input data and time were examined using PACF autocorrelation plots to form input data patterns. The working principle of SVR is to find the best hyperplane in the form of a function that produces the slightest error.Result: The best SVR model built from the linear kernel, the MAPE value is 0.5510%, the epsilon is 0.0614, and the bias is 0.6015. The results of the tidal prediction on Prigi Beach in September 2020 showed that the highest tide occurred on September 19, 2020, at 10.00 PM, and the lowest tide occurred on September 3, 2020, at 04.00 AM. Value: After conducting experiments on three types of kernels on SVR, it is said that linear kernels can predict improvements better than polynomial and gaussian kernels.