Trend and dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Latin America during the first wave

Renan Carrasco Cézar, Mateus Lavor Lira, Matheus Gama Nogueira, Bruno Araújo de Freitas, L. Damasceno
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Abstract

Objective: The present study aimed to evaluate the trend and dynamics of COVID-19 in LA. Methods: This cross-sectional study was based on data published on the Pan American Health Organization and the World Health Organization websites. Information was collected in three periods: 05/10/2020 (Period A), 06/19/2020 (Period B), and 07/20/2020 (Period C).  Descriptive analysis was performed. Results: In Period A, the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in LA had reached 284,521. In the second period, the number of cumulated cases was 1,958,180. In Period C, a total of 4,046,179 cases of COVID-19 had been notified. The highest prevalence and detection rates of COVID-19 in LA was reported in Chile, Panama, Peru, and Brazil. The mortality rate regarding new deaths in Period A was less than 60 deaths/106 habitants in all countries. However, in the second period, Ecuador (232 deaths/106 hab) presented the highest mortality rate. In Period C, the greatest rates were reported in Peru (297 deaths/106 hab) and Chile (248 deaths/106 hab). Brazil being accountable for the highest number of deaths in LA due to COVID-19. Conclusion: The trend and dynamics of COVID-19 spread in LA reveals the heterogeneous distribution and uncontrollability of the epidemic in several countries.
第一波期间拉丁美洲COVID-19大流行的趋势和动态
目的:本研究旨在评估洛杉矶新冠肺炎的趋势和动态。方法:本横断面研究基于泛美卫生组织和世界卫生组织网站上发布的数据。信息分三个时期收集:2020年10月5日(A期)、2020年6月19日(B期)和2020年7月20日(C期)。进行描述性分析。结果:在A期,洛杉矶新冠肺炎确诊病例达到284521例。在第二个时期,累计病例数为1958180例。在C期,共通报了4046179例新冠肺炎病例。据报道,洛杉矶新冠肺炎的发病率和检出率最高的是智利、巴拿马、秘鲁和巴西。在所有国家,A期新增死亡病例的死亡率均低于60例死亡/106名居民。然而,在第二阶段,厄瓜多尔(232人死亡/106人死亡)的死亡率最高。在C期,秘鲁(297人死亡/106人死亡)和智利(248人死亡/108人死亡)的发病率最高。巴西是洛杉矶因新冠肺炎死亡人数最多的国家。结论:新冠肺炎在洛杉矶的传播趋势和动态揭示了疫情在几个国家的异质性分布和不可控性。
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