Using Nighttime Luminosity as a Proxy for Economic Growth in Africa: Is It a Bright Idea?

Nicolene Hamman, A. Phiri
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this paper, we question whether night light luminosity data can beused as an alternative measure of GDP in 49 African countries. For thisto be proven true, evidence of significant relationships between night lightdata and GDP time series variables needs to be confirmed through empiricalanalysis. In differing from previous studies, we employ pooled meangroup (PMG) cross sectional cointegration estimators and wavelet coherencetools to examine the cointegration relationships and time-frequencysynchronizations between GDP and DMSP-OLS night light intensity forannual data collected between 1992 and 2012. All in all, we find little evidenceof significant relationships between nighttime data and GDP for individualAfrican countries and therefore caution policymakers in strictlyusing DMSP-OLS data to create synthetic measures of economic growth.Possible avenues for future research are further recommended at the endof the study.
利用夜间亮度作为非洲经济增长的指标:这是一个光明的想法吗?
在本文中,我们质疑是否夜间光亮度数据可以作为49个非洲国家的GDP的替代措施。为了证明这一点,需要通过实证分析来证实夜间灯光数据与GDP时间序列变量之间存在显著关系的证据。与以往的研究不同,我们采用了汇总均值(PMG)横截面协整估计和小波相干性工具来检验1992年至2012年期间收集的年度数据中GDP与DMSP-OLS夜间光强之间的协整关系和时频同步。总而言之,我们发现很少有证据表明夜间数据与个别非洲国家的GDP之间存在显著关系,因此,我们提醒政策制定者严格使用DMSP-OLS数据来创建经济增长的综合衡量标准。在研究的最后,进一步推荐了未来研究的可能途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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16 weeks
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