Will capitalism die? Reflections on the Capitalism of the Past, Present and Future

Q3 Social Sciences

Sotsiologicheskiy Zhurnal Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI:10.19181/socjour.2022.28.2.8988

L. Grinin, S. Malkov, A. Grinin, Andrey Korotayev

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In the article, the authors pose and consider in detail the extremely topical question of whether capitalism has a future or will it be replaced by some new system. And if there is a future, then what kind of future is it? These are not new questions, but in the last few years they have acquired exceptional importance, since not only the left, but also representatives of the largest financial capital have started talking about the end of capitalism. The article deals with the following questions: what is capitalism as a way of life and as a system; what was the evolution of capitalism; what are his potentialities. In addition, various scenarios are considered and forecasts are given for the next 50–100 years. It is assumed that in the next few decades the development of capitalism may proceed differently in developed and developing countries, resulting in a complex continuum of types, transitions, combinations and forms of capitalism. The authors believe that capitalism will be inevitably transformed to one degree or another, but the degree of such transformation can vary greatly. Various scenarios for the future of capitalism are considered: from maintaining its leading role to reducing capitalism to one of a few socio-economic subsystems.

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资本主义会灭亡吗?对资本主义的过去、现在和未来的反思

在这篇文章中，作者提出并详细考虑了一个极具话题性的问题，即资本主义是否有未来，或者它会被某种新制度取代。如果有一个未来，那么它是一个什么样的未来？这些都不是新问题，但在过去几年里，它们变得格外重要，因为不仅左派，而且最大金融资本的代表都开始谈论资本主义的终结。本文探讨了以下问题：什么是资本主义作为一种生活方式和制度；资本主义的演变是什么；他的潜力是什么。此外，还考虑了各种情景，并对未来50-100年进行了预测。据推测，在未来几十年里，发达国家和发展中国家的资本主义发展可能会有所不同，从而导致资本主义的类型、过渡、组合和形式的复杂连续体。作者认为，资本主义将不可避免地在某种程度上发生转变，但这种转变的程度可能会有很大差异。考虑了资本主义未来的各种情景：从保持其主导作用到将资本主义简化为少数社会经济子系统之一。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Sotsiologicheskiy Zhurnal Social Sciences-Social Sciences (all)

CiteScore

0.90

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

37 weeks

期刊介绍： “Sotsiologicheskij Zhurnal” publishes the articles on sociological disciplines. Interdisciplinary studies in sociology and related disciplines, such as social psychology, cultural studies, anthropology, ethnography, etc. — are also welcomed. The main emphasis is on the fundamental research in the field of theory, methodology and history of sociology. The regular rubric highlights the results of mass surveys and case studies. The rubric “Discussion”, which debated the controversial issues of sociological research, is regular as well. The journal publishes book reviews, and summaries, as well as lists of new books in Russian and English, which represent the main areas of interdisciplinary research in the social sciences. The journal aims to not only play samples of knowledge, considered regulatory and standards of internal expertise in the professional community, but also aims for opportunities to improve them. These rules, a tough selection and decision to print only a small portion of incoming materials allow “Sotsiologicheskij Zhurnal” contribute to improving the quality of sociological research. Submitted manuscripts should show a high integrity in problem setting, problem analysis and correspond to the journal’s thematic profile and its scientific priorities.