Eastern US precipitation investigated through patterns of moisture transport

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper examines precipitation associated with large-scale patterns of water vapor transport in the eastern United States. Daily 4 km gridded precipitation from PRISM (1981–2017) is sorted into a subset according to previously defined patterns of water vapor transport supplying the moisture on each day. These subsets are then analyzed to characterize the precipitation associated with each water vapor transport pattern. While each moisture transport pattern is associated with at least occasional precipitation, with seasonal variations, the highest precipitation averages are issued from near-coastal and coastal moisture transport patterns. Moisture transport patterns emanating from the Gulf of Mexico are associated with highest average precipitation inland. Each pattern has a spatially distinct contribution to annual and seasonal precipitation totals. The water vapor transport patterns of moderate intensity and moderate associated precipitation contribute the most to average annual precipitation. Most moisture transport patterns are associated with statistically significant increases in areas of very heavy precipitation (x ≥ 50 mm). By identifying which atmospheric moisture transport patterns are responsible for increasing areas of very heavy precipitation, and by characterizing the precipitation totals and contribution associated with each, this paper demonstrates the utility of examining precipitation variability through moisture transport patterns.