“Born for a Storm”: Hard-Right Social Media and Civil Unrest

IF 7.1 1区社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY

American Sociological Review Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI:10.1177/00031224231156190

Daniel Karell, A. Linke, E. Holland, Edward L. Hendrickson

引用次数: 5

Abstract

Does activity on hard-right social media lead to hard-right civil unrest? If so, why? We created a spatial panel dataset comprising hard-right social media use and incidents of unrest across the United States from January 2020 through January 2021. Using spatial regression analyses with core-based statistical area (CBSA) and month fixed effects, we find that greater CBSA-level hard-right social media activity in a given month is associated with an increase in subsequent unrest. The results of robustness checks, placebo tests, alternative analytical approaches, and sensitivity analyses support this finding. To examine why hard-right social media activity predicts unrest, we draw on an original dataset of users’ shared content and status in the online community. Analyses of these data suggest that hard-right social media shift users’ perceptions of norms, increasing the likelihood they will participate in contentious events they once considered taboo. Our study sheds new light on social media’s offline effects, as well as the consequences of increasingly common hard-right platforms.

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“为风暴而生”:极右翼社交媒体和内乱

极右翼社交媒体上的活动是否会导致极右翼内乱？如果是，为什么？我们创建了一个空间面板数据集，其中包括2020年1月至2021年1月美国各地的极右翼社交媒体使用和骚乱事件。使用基于核心统计区域（CBSA）和月份固定效应的空间回归分析，我们发现，在给定的月份，CBSA水平更高的极右翼社交媒体活动与随后的骚乱增加有关。稳健性检查、安慰剂测试、替代分析方法和敏感性分析的结果支持这一发现。为了研究为什么极右翼社交媒体活动会预测动乱，我们利用了用户在在线社区中共享内容和状态的原始数据集。对这些数据的分析表明，极右翼社交媒体改变了用户对规范的看法，增加了他们参与曾经被视为禁忌的有争议事件的可能性。我们的研究为社交媒体的线下效应以及越来越常见的极右翼平台的后果提供了新的线索。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

American Sociological Review SOCIOLOGY-

CiteScore

13.30

自引率

3.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： The American Sociological Association (ASA) is a non-profit membership association established in 1905. Its mission is to advance sociology as a scientific discipline and profession that serves the public good. ASA is comprised of approximately 12,000 members including faculty members, researchers, practitioners, and students in the field of sociology. Roughly 20% of the members work in government, business, or non-profit organizations. One of ASA's primary endeavors is the publication and dissemination of important sociological research. To this end, they founded the American Sociological Review (ASR) in 1936. ASR is the flagship journal of the association and publishes original works that are of general interest and contribute to the advancement of sociology. The journal seeks to publish new theoretical developments, research results that enhance our understanding of fundamental social processes, and significant methodological innovations. ASR welcomes submissions from all areas of sociology, placing an emphasis on exceptional quality. Aside from ASR, ASA also publishes 14 professional journals and magazines. Additionally, they organize an annual meeting that attracts over 6,000 participants. ASA's membership consists of scholars, professionals, and students dedicated to the study and application of sociology in various domains of society.