Estimation of \( P[Y
Q1 Decision Sciences
Dipak D. Patil, U. V. Naik-Nimbalkar, M. M. Kale
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The stress–strength model is a basic tool used in evaluating the reliability \( R = P(Y < X)\). We consider an expression for R where the random variables X and Y denote strength and stress, respectively. The system fails only if the stress exceeds the strength. We aim to study the effect of the dependency between X and Y on R. We assume that X and Y follow Weibull distributions and their dependency is modeled by a copula with the dependency parameter \( \theta \). We compute R for Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern (FGM), Ali–Mikhail–Haq (AMH), Gumbel’s bivariate exponential copulas, and for Gumbel–Hougaard (GH) copula using a Monte-Carlo integration technique. We plot the graph of R versus \(\theta \) to study the effect of dependency on R. We estimate R by plugging in the estimates of the marginal parameters and of \( \theta \) in its expression. The estimates of the marginal parameters are based on the marginal likelihood. The estimates of \(\theta \) are obtained from two different methods; one is based on the conditional likelihood and the other is based on the method of moments using Blomqvist’s beta. Asymptotic distribution of both the estimators of R is obtained. Finally, analysis of real data set is also performed for illustrative purposes.

Abstract Image

具有威布尔边际的应力-强度模型依赖性的$$P[Y
应力-强度模型是用于评估可靠性的基本工具(R = P(Y < X))。我们考虑 R 的表达式,其中随机变量 X 和 Y 分别表示强度和应力。只有当应力超过强度时,系统才会失效。我们假定 X 和 Y 遵循 Weibull 分布,它们之间的依赖关系由具有依赖参数 \( \theta \)的 copula 来建模。我们使用蒙特卡洛积分技术计算 Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM)、Ali-Mikhail-Haq (AMH)、Gumbel 的双变量指数协程以及 Gumbel-Hougaard (GH) 协程的 R。我们绘制了 R 与 \(\theta \)的关系图,以研究依赖性对 R 的影响。我们在 R 的表达式中插入边际参数和 \(\theta \)的估计值来估计 R。边际参数的估计基于边际似然法。\(\theta \)的估计值由两种不同的方法获得;一种是基于条件似然法,另一种是基于使用布隆奎斯特贝塔的矩方法。两种 R 估计数的渐近分布都已得到。最后,还对真实数据集进行了分析,以说明问题。
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来源期刊
Annals of Data Science
Annals of Data Science Decision Sciences-Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
93
期刊介绍: Annals of Data Science (ADS) publishes cutting-edge research findings, experimental results and case studies of data science. Although Data Science is regarded as an interdisciplinary field of using mathematics, statistics, databases, data mining, high-performance computing, knowledge management and virtualization to discover knowledge from Big Data, it should have its own scientific contents, such as axioms, laws and rules, which are fundamentally important for experts in different fields to explore their own interests from Big Data. ADS encourages contributors to address such challenging problems at this exchange platform. At present, how to discover knowledge from heterogeneous data under Big Data environment needs to be addressed.     ADS is a series of volumes edited by either the editorial office or guest editors. Guest editors will be responsible for call-for-papers and the review process for high-quality contributions in their volumes.
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