Foresight of the health system at the national level based on the Islamic-Iranian lifestyle and by identifying the goals and actions of key actors

Abstract

Background and Objective: Foresight of a new way of thinking that can challenge the originality of zero-one logic in the experimental sciences and modern medicine. This logic, by focusing on patient-health orientation and insisting on forecasting, leads health organizations and institutions to be passive in the face of future events. This study has been written with the aim of foresight with a backcasting approach and helping to build the future of the health system with a focus on health at the national level and based on the Islamic-Iranian lifestyle. Materials and Methods: In this research, using the Laprospective school approach and using the process governing the software, the software analyzes the goals and actions of the actors as well as the relationship between the goals and the actors through in-depth interviews with 25 health system experts. Results: Among the future goals of the country's health system, the goal of Organization and University Wisdom base as an infrastructure goal has the lowest net distance from other goals and among the actors of the Ministry of Health, Treatment and Medical Education, family physicians and non-governmental organizations has the highest Were important. Conclusion: The current structure of the health system due to the patient-healthoriented approach is not responsible for dealing with the new generation of diseases due to lifestyle changes. Therefore, the Ministry of Health, Treatment and Medical Education needs to change the current paradigm governing the health system due to its duty to be the stewardship of the health system.