Foreign Development Assistance and Macroeconomic Policy Stance: The Underlying Levers of Growth in Emerging SSA Countries

S. Edo, O. Matthew, I. Ogunrinola
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The role of foreign development assistance and macroeconomic policy stance, in economic growth performance of the emerging Sub-Saharan African economies, is investigated in this study. The GMM and VECM methods are employed in estimating the relationships and impacts, for the period 1980-2019. Results from the two estimation methods are comparable and consistent. The effect of foreign development assistance is revealed to be positive, and more significant than that of monetary policy, but less significant than fiscal policy. The control variable, exchange rate, exerts significant negative effect on growth. The results also reveal that economic growth is unable to significantly reinforce itself. Generally, the estimation results conform to theoretical expectations of the relationships that exist between economic growth and the underlying variables. The results are also considered to be significantly reliable for forecasting and policy making.
对外发展援助与宏观经济政策立场:SSA新兴国家经济增长的潜在杠杆
本研究调查了外国发展援助和宏观经济政策立场在撒哈拉以南非洲新兴经济体经济增长表现中的作用。GMM和VECM方法用于估计1980-2019年期间的关系和影响。两种估算方法的结果具有可比性和一致性。外国发展援助的效果是积极的,比货币政策的效果更显著,但比财政政策的效果不那么显著。控制变量汇率对经济增长产生了显著的负面影响。研究结果还表明,经济增长无法显著增强自身。一般来说,估计结果符合经济增长与潜在变量之间存在关系的理论预期。这些结果也被认为对预测和政策制定非常可靠。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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