The Effects of the NBA COVID Bubble on the NBA Playoffs: A Case Study for Home-Court Advantage

Michael K. Price, Jun Yan
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The 2020 NBA playoffs were played inside of a bubble at Disney World because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This meant that there were no fans in attendance, games were played on neutral courts and no traveling for teams. In theory, these conditions should remove home-court advantage from the games. This setting generated discussion and concern, as analysts and fans debated the possible effects it may have on the outcome of games. Home-court advantage has historically played an influential role in NBA playoff series outcomes. The 2020 playoffs provided a unique opportunity to study the effects of the bubble and home-court advantage by comparing the 2020 season with the seasons in the past. While many factors contribute to the outcome of games, points scored is the deciding factor of who wins. Thus, scoring is the primary focus of this study. The specific measures of interest are team scoring totals and team shooting percentage on two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws. Comparing these measures for home teams and away teams in 2020 vs. 2017-2019 shows that the 2020 playoffs favored away teams more than usual, particularly with two-point shooting and total scoring. KEYWORDS: NBA; NBA Covid; NBA Bubble; Homecourt Advantage
NBA COVID泡沫对NBA季后赛的影响:以主场优势为例
由于新冠肺炎疫情,2020年NBA季后赛在迪士尼世界的泡沫中举行。这意味着没有球迷在场,比赛在中立的球场上进行,球队也没有旅行。理论上,这些条件应该会使比赛失去主场优势。这一设置引发了讨论和担忧,分析人士和球迷们就其可能对比赛结果产生的影响展开了辩论。主场优势历来在NBA季后赛系列赛的结果中发挥着重要作用。2020年季后赛提供了一个独特的机会,通过将2020赛季与过去的赛季进行比较,来研究泡沫和主场优势的影响。虽然许多因素会影响比赛的结果,但得分是决定谁获胜的因素。因此,评分是本研究的主要重点。感兴趣的具体衡量标准是球队的得分总数和球队的二分球、三分球和罚球命中率。将2020年主队和客场球队的这些指标与2017-2019年进行比较表明,2020年季后赛比平时更青睐客场球队,尤其是在两分球和总得分方面。关键词:NBA;NBA新冠肺炎;NBA泡沫;主场优势
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