Between incrementalism and punctuated equilibrium: the case of budget in Poland, 1995–2018

Q1 Social Sciences

Central European Journal of Public Policy Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI:10.2478/cejpp-2021-0007

Lukasz Wordliczek

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract Incrementalism and punctuated equilibrium theory (PET) have secured their standing in public policy research when studying change in budgetary data. On the other hand, however, new empirical evidence is constantly developed to confront it with theoretical assumptions. In line with the above, the aim of the paper is threefold. First, it is examined if budgetary outlays in Poland follow either incrementalism or PET's core premises. Second, the paper aims at facilitating discussion on identifying punctuations. It is claimed that any cut-off point should be data-driven, category-responsive, and generalizable across different types of outliers. And third, it is investigated which of the budget categories have the most punctuations. Methodologically, the study is based on descriptive and distributional statistics provided to tackle the above two issues comprehensively. Consequently, the paper aims at filling the gap in theory-driven literature on Polish budget shifts and their empirical rigorous explanations. Thus, it is claimed that the Polish case study contributes to the debate on the verification of empirical research on public policy agendas and public policy change.

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在渐进主义和间断均衡之间：以波兰预算为例，1995-2018

摘要渐进主义和间断均衡理论（PET）在研究预算数据变化时确保了它们在公共政策研究中的地位。然而，另一方面，新的经验证据不断发展，以应对理论假设。与上述内容一致，本文的目的有三个。首先，研究波兰的预算支出是否遵循渐进主义或PET的核心前提。其次，本文旨在促进对标点符号识别的讨论。据称，任何分界点都应该是数据驱动的、对类别有响应的，并且可以在不同类型的异常值中推广。第三，调查了哪些预算类别的标点符号最多。从方法上讲，该研究基于为全面解决上述两个问题而提供的描述性和分布性统计数据。因此，本文旨在填补关于波兰预算变化及其实证严谨解释的理论驱动文献中的空白。因此，据称波兰的案例研究有助于就公共政策议程和公共政策变革实证研究的验证问题展开辩论。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Central European Journal of Public Policy Social Sciences-Law

CiteScore

1.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

37 weeks

期刊介绍： The Central European Journal of Public Policy (CEJPP) is an open-access, multidisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal with primary focus upon analytical, theoretical and methodological articles in the field of public policy. The journal does not have article processing charges (APCs) nor article submission charges. The aim of the CEJPP is to provide academic scholars and professionals in different policy fields with the latest theoretical and methodological advancements in public policy supported by sound empirical research. The CEJPP addresses all topics of public policy including social services and healthcare, environmental protection, education, labour market, immigration, security, public financing and budgeting, administrative reform, performance measurements, governance and others. It attempts to find a balance between description, explanation and evaluation of public policies and encourages a wide range of social science approaches, both qualitative and quantitative. Although the journal focuses primarily upon Central Europe, relevant contributions from other geographical areas are also welcomed in order to enhance public policy research in Central Europe.