Letters to our Future Selves? High-Powered Replication Attempts Question Effects on Future Orientation, Delinquent Decisions, and Risky Investments

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI:10.1521/SOCO.2020.38.6.521

Laura Quinten, Anja Carina Murmann, Hanna A. Genau, R. Warkentin, R. Banse

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Abstract

Enhancing people's future orientation, in particular continuity with their future selves, has been proposed as promising to mitigate self-control–related problem behavior. In two pre-registered, direct replication studies, we tested a subtle manipulation, that is, writing a letter to one's future self, in order to reduce delinquent decisions (van Gelder et al., 2013, Study 1) and risky investments (Monroe et al., 2017, Study 1). With samples of n = 314 and n = 463, which is 2.5 times the original studies' sample sizes, the results suggested that the expected effects are either non-existent or smaller than originally reported, and/or dependent on factors not examined. Vividness of the future self was successfully manipulated in Study 2, but manipulation checks overall indicated that the letter task is not reliable to alter future orientation. We discuss ideas to integrate self-affirmation approaches and to test less subtle manipulations in samples with substantial, myopia-related self-control deficits.

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给我们未来的信卖了吗？高功率复制尝试质疑对未来方向、不良决策和风险投资的影响

增强人们的未来取向，特别是与未来自我的连续性，被认为有助于缓解与自我控制相关的问题行为。在两项预先注册的直接复制研究中，我们测试了一种微妙的操作，即给未来的自己写一封信，以减少拖欠的决定（van Gelder et al.，2013，研究1）和风险投资（Monroe et al.，2017，研究1）。对于n=314和n=463的样本，这是原始研究样本量的2.5倍，结果表明，预期影响要么不存在，要么比原始报告的要小，和/或取决于未检查的因素。研究2中成功地操纵了未来自我的生动性，但操纵检查总体上表明，字母任务不可靠，无法改变未来的方向。我们讨论了整合自我肯定方法的想法，并在具有严重近视相关自我控制缺陷的样本中测试不那么微妙的操作。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.