Impact of External Debt and Financial Integrity Management on Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from the MMQR Approach

IF 0.3 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Kazi Musa, Norli Ali, Jamaliah Said, Norhayati Mohamed, Inna Junaine
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Abstract

The study examined the impact of external debt on economic growth in the context of developing countries. Since the level of financial integrity plays a vital role in the growth factor, we also investigated the direct impact of financial integrity (FI) management on economic growth as well as the moderating role of FI on the nexus between external debt and economic growth. To achieve the goals, we deployed a newly developed econometric approach, the Method of Moment Quantile Regression (MMQR), considering the quantile in both scale and location due to highly heterogeneous panel data from 1990 to 2020. The empirical estimation of the MMQR approach demonstrated that external debt is counterproductive in all quantiles for economic growth in the context of developing countries. Besides, FI management was insignificant in the bottom to top quantiles. Besides, the results also depicted that external debt works better for economic growth by the presence of FI in upper quantiles than the lower quantiles. The findings indicated that external debt is detrimental to economic growth in developing countries, while financial integrity management supports the debt-growth relationship. The study provides several policy implications. Keywords: external debt, economic growth, MMQR, financial integrity, developing countries
外债和金融诚信管理对发展中国家经济增长的影响:来自MMQR方法的证据
这项研究审查了发展中国家的外债对经济增长的影响。由于金融诚信水平在增长因素中起着至关重要的作用,我们还调查了金融诚信(FI)管理对经济增长的直接影响,以及FI在外债与经济增长之间的关系中的调节作用。为了实现这一目标,我们采用了一种新开发的计量经济学方法,即矩分位数回归方法(MMQR),考虑了1990年至2020年高度异构的面板数据在规模和位置上的分位数。对MMQR方法的经验估计表明,在发展中国家,外债对经济增长的所有分位数都起反作用。此外,FI管理在从下到上的分位数上不显著。此外,研究结果还表明,外部债务对经济增长的促进作用在高分位数比低分位数更有效。调查结果表明,外债不利于发展中国家的经济增长,而财务诚信管理则支持债务增长关系。这项研究提供了几项政策启示。关键词:外债,经济增长,MMQR,金融诚信,发展中国家
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