Modelling regional differentials in childhood and adult mortality in Nigeria

Q3 Social Sciences

Etude de la Population Africaine Pub Date : 2018-07-20 DOI:10.11564/32-1-1161

B. O. Afam, T. Olowolafe, B. Gbadebo, A. Adebowale

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Abstract

Context: Nigeria is one of the countries yet to undergo demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa. This study provided estimates of childhood and Adult mortality across geopolitical zones in Nigeria. Data Source and Method: The parameters used in this study were estimated from 2013 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. Child and adult mortality were estimated using Brass logit system and siblings survival method respectively and then linked using the logit life tables. Heligman pollard model was used to generate estimates of probability of death. Findings: There were regional variations in the levels of infant and under-five mortality in Nigeria, mortality was highest in the North West and least in South West. Survivorship probabilities decreased as age increased. The age patterns of childhood and adult mortality were similar across all regions. Life expectancy from birth in Nigeria was 58 years. Conclusion: The estimated mortality rates were high and varied across the regions in Nigeria. While government should not relent its efforts in childhood mortality reduction in Nigeria, more attention should be focused on children who live in the Northern part of Nigeria

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模拟尼日利亚儿童和成人死亡率的区域差异

背景：尼日利亚是撒哈拉以南非洲尚未经历人口结构转型的国家之一。这项研究提供了尼日利亚各地缘政治地区儿童和成人死亡率的估计值。数据来源和方法：本研究中使用的参数来自2013年尼日利亚人口与健康调查。儿童和成人死亡率分别使用Brass logit系统和兄弟姐妹生存法进行估计，然后使用logit生命表进行关联。Heligman-pollard模型被用于产生死亡概率的估计值。调查结果：尼日利亚婴儿和五岁以下儿童的死亡率存在地区差异，西北部死亡率最高，西南部死亡率最低。存活概率随着年龄的增长而降低。所有区域的儿童死亡率和成人死亡率的年龄模式相似。尼日利亚从出生起的预期寿命为58岁。结论：尼日利亚各地区的估计死亡率很高，各不相同。虽然政府不应放松在尼日利亚降低儿童死亡率方面的努力，但应更多地关注生活在尼日利亚北部的儿童

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来源期刊

Etude de la Population Africaine Social Sciences-Demography

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期刊介绍： African Population Studies is a biannual, peer-reviewed journal that publishes original research articles, reviews, commentaries, letters and case studies on topics related to the disciplines represented by the Union for African Population Studies Association. These disciplines include demography, population studies, public health, epidemiology, social statistics, population geography, development studies, economics and other social sciences that deal with population and development interrelationships that are unique and relevant to Africa and global audience.