Fewer guns, less crime: evidence from Brazil

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS

Ekonomicheskaya politika Pub Date : 2021-02-04 DOI:10.1093/EPOLIC/EIAB005

Rodrigo Schneider

引用次数: 3

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of legislation in Brazil that banned the right to carry guns and provided for a voter referendum regarding whether to ban the sale of all firearms. Using a regression discontinuity design, I find that gun-related homicides decreased by 12.2% and gunshot wounds that were ‘intended to kill’ by 16.3%, with the reduction of the former being especially pronounced in high-crime areas and among black males. There is no evidence of substitution effect as non-gun-related homicides were not affected. Two pieces of evidence suggest that the mechanism explaining this result is a decrease in the number of people carrying guns in response to the legislation: first, the number of cases of illegal gun carrying decreased and second, only gun-related homicides taking place outside the residence were reduced. Analysis of the subsequent voter referendum, which was defeated by a wide margin, shows stronger support for the complete firearms ban in the areas more affected by gun violence.

查看原文本刊更多论文

更少的枪支，更少的犯罪：来自巴西的证据

本文研究了巴西立法的影响，该立法禁止携带枪支的权利，并规定就是否禁止销售所有枪支举行公民投票。使用回归不连续性设计，我发现与枪支有关的凶杀案减少了12.2%，“意图杀人”的枪伤减少了16.3%，前者的减少在高犯罪率地区和黑人男性中尤为明显。没有证据表明替代效应，因为与枪支无关的凶杀案没有受到影响。有两项证据表明，解释这一结果的机制是，根据立法，携带枪支的人数减少了：首先，非法携带枪支的案件数量减少了，其次，只有在住所外发生的与枪支有关的凶杀案减少了。对随后以较大优势落败的选民公投的分析表明，在受枪支暴力影响更严重的地区，人们更加支持全面禁止枪支。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Ekonomicheskaya politika ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.30

自引率

20.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Ekonomicheskaya Politika is a broad-range economic journal devoted primarily to the study of the economic policy of present-day Russia as well as global economic problems. The subject matters of articles includes macroeconomic, fiscal, monetary, industrial, social, regulation and competition policyand more. The journal also publishes theoretical papers in such areas as political economy, general economic theory, welfare economics, law and economics,and institutional economics.. The character and the scope of economic problems studied in many publications require a multidisciplinary approach, consistent with the editorial policy of the journal. While the thematic scope of articles is generally related to Russia, the aim of editorial policy is to cover politico-economic processes in the modern world and international economic relations, as well. In addition, Ekonomicheskaya Politika publishes Russian translations of classical and significant modern works of foreign economists.