DEVELOPMENT OF OPTIMAL CROP PRODUCTION MODEL CONSIDERING EXISTING NATURAL-CLIMATIC RISKS INCREASING CROP YIELDS

IF 1.7 Q3 PLANT SCIENCES

Sabrao Journal of Breeding and Genetics Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI:10.54910/sabrao2023.55.3.15

A. Shaimerdenova, LG Agapitova, AV Bobrova, Y. Akhmetov, V. Sinyukov, PN Sharonin, AG Dobrovolsky, DI Ryakhovsky, EE Krasnovskiy, AD Ten

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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Contemporary agriculture is a fertile ground for the effective use of economic and mathematical models, which can be evaluated to unwind several problems with characteristic optimization features: multiple solution opportunities and freedom of choice, limited production resources, and efficiency valuation. The presented study aims to develop a model of optimal crop production structure under the existing weather risks in the agricultural management system. The article reviews the basic theoretical concepts in optimizing the production structure of agricultural enterprises, examines the specific features of crop production, proves the influence of weather and climate conditions on forming the production structure, demonstrates the use of correlation and regression analysis for trend modeling and forecasting of crop yields, and offers suggestions for determining the optimal production structure. The study concludes that multivariate forecasting helps optimize management in economic organizations and ensure their development under the variability of natural conditions. Natural and climatic conditions significantly impact the development of production structures in agricultural enterprises, along with nature acting as an innate participant in the game.

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考虑现有自然气候风险提高作物产量的最佳作物生产模型的开发

当代农业是有效利用经济和数学模型的沃土，可以对其进行评估，以解决几个具有特征优化特征的问题：多个解决方案机会和选择自由、有限的生产资源和效率评估。本研究旨在建立一个在农业管理系统中存在天气风险的情况下的最佳作物生产结构模型。文章回顾了优化农业企业生产结构的基本理论概念，考察了作物生产的具体特征，证明了天气气候条件对形成生产结构的影响，论证了相关和回归分析在作物产量趋势建模和预测中的应用，并为确定最佳生产结构提供了建议。研究表明，多元预测有助于优化经济组织的管理，确保其在自然条件变化下的发展。自然和气候条件对农业企业生产结构的发展产生了重大影响，自然也是这场游戏的内在参与者。

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来源期刊

Sabrao Journal of Breeding and Genetics 农林科学-奶制品与动物科学

CiteScore

1.90

自引率

50.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The SABRAO Journal of Breeding and Genetics is an international journal of plant breeding and genetics research and was first published in 1969. It is the official publication of the Society for the Advancement of Breeding Research in Asia and Oceania (SABRAO). Its objectives are to: promote the international exchange of research information on plant breeding and genetics, by describing new research findings, or ideas of a basic or practical nature; and be a medium for the exchange of ideas and news regarding members of the Society. The Journal gives priority to articles that are of direct relevance to plant breeders and with emphasis on the Asian region. Invited for publication are research articles, short communications, methods, reviews, commentaries, and opinion articles. Scientific contributions are refereed and edited to international standards. The journal publishes articles for SABRAO members mainly. The Journal preferred strongly that at least one author should be a current member of the Society. Non-members may also publish in the journal.