Did Black Lives Matter Protests Change Public Opinion?

IF 1.6 3区社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

American Politics Research Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI:10.1177/1532673X231175625

F. Boehmke, Samuel M. Avery, Marissa S. Good, Thomas C. Dainty, Hyein Ko

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Protest events affect public opinion on the issue of interest. However, the extent to which an individual’s proximity to protests impacts public opinion is less examined. Does a protest event occurring nearby, i.e., within an individual’s neighborhood, impact their opinion? Do protests that happen further away, perhaps in the next county, have the same impact on public opinion? This study analyzes the impact of exposure to protests by focusing on the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement in 2020 using public opinion data from Iowa merged with protest locations in Iowa. Specifically, we examine public support for BLM and for defunding the police. We evaluate the role of distance through a discrete mileage cut-off and a distance decay function. Our analysis shows that people living closer to protests show greater support for the BLM movement in general and, to a less extent, for defunding the police. The results suggest that protests may affect public opinion, but only within a very narrow range of a few miles.

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黑人的生命攸关抗议改变了公众舆论吗？

抗议事件影响公众对利益问题的看法。然而，个人对抗议活动的接近程度对公众舆论的影响却很少得到审查。发生在附近的抗议事件，例如，在一个人的社区内，会影响他们的意见吗?发生在更远地方的抗议活动，也许是在邻近的县，对公众舆论有同样的影响吗?本研究利用爱荷华州的民意数据和爱荷华州的抗议地点，重点关注2020年的“黑人的命也是命”(BLM)运动，分析了接触抗议活动的影响。具体来说，我们考察了公众对土地管理处和撤资警察的支持。我们通过离散的里程截止和距离衰减函数来评估距离的作用。我们的分析表明，居住在离抗议活动更近的地方的人总体上更支持土地管理处的运动，而在较小程度上支持取消对警察的资助。结果表明，抗议活动可能会影响公众舆论，但只是在几英里的狭窄范围内。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

American Politics Research POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

2.80

自引率

6.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： The purpose of Amercian Politics Research is to promote and disseminate high-quality research in all areas of American politics, including local, state, and national. American Politics Research will publish significant studies concerning American political behavior, political parties, public opinion, legislative behavior, courts and the legal process, executive and administrative politics, public policy, and all other topics appropriate to our understanding of American government and politics. Manuscripts from all social science disciplines are welcomed.