Klaus Hasselmann and Economics

IF 2.6 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
C. Jaeger
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Abstract

Klaus Hasselmann has earned the 2021 Nobel Prize in physics for his breakthroughs in analysing the climate system as a complex physical system. Since decades, as a leading climate scientist he is aware of the need for creative cooperation between climate scientists and researchers from other fields, especially economics. To facilitate such cooperation, he has designed a productive research program for economic analysis in view of climate change. Without blurring the differences between economics and physics, the Hasselmann program stresses the complexities of today’s economy. This includes the importance of heterogeneous actors and different time scales, of making major uncertainties explicit and bringing researchers and practitioners in close interaction. The program has triggered decades of collaborative research, especially in the network of the Global Climate Forum, that he has founded for this purpose. Research inspired by Hasselmann’s innovative ideas has led to a farewell to outdated economic approaches: single-equilibrium models, a single constant discount rate, framing the climate challenge as a kind of prisoner’s dilemma and framing it as a problem of scarcity requiring sacrifices from the majority of today’s population. Instead of presenting the climate problem as the ultimate apocalyptic narrative, he sees it as a challenge to be mastered. To meet this challenge requires careful research in order to identify underutilisation of human, technical and social capacities that offer the keys to a climate friendly world economy. Climate neutrality may then be achieved by activating these capacities through investment-oriented climate strategies, designed and implemented by different actors both in industrialised and developing countries. The difficulties to bring global greenhouse gas emissions down to net zero are enormous; the Hasselmann program holds promise of significant advances in this endeavour.
克劳斯·哈塞尔曼与经济学
克劳斯·哈塞尔曼因其在将气候系统作为一个复杂物理系统进行分析方面的突破而获得2021年诺贝尔物理学奖。几十年来,作为一名领先的气候科学家,他意识到气候科学家和其他领域的研究人员之间需要创造性的合作,尤其是经济学。为了促进这种合作,他设计了一个富有成效的研究项目,用于从气候变化的角度进行经济分析。在不模糊经济学和物理学之间的区别的情况下,哈塞尔曼计划强调了当今经济的复杂性。这包括异质参与者和不同时间尺度的重要性,明确主要的不确定性,并使研究人员和从业者密切互动。该项目引发了数十年的合作研究,特别是在他为此目的创建的全球气候论坛网络中。受哈塞尔曼创新思想启发的研究已经告别了过时的经济方法:单一的均衡模型,单一的恒定贴现率,将气候挑战视为一种囚犯困境,并将其视为一个需要当今大多数人口做出牺牲的稀缺问题。他没有将气候问题描述为终极的世界末日叙事,而是将其视为一个需要掌握的挑战。要应对这一挑战,需要进行仔细的研究,以确定为气候友好型世界经济提供关键的人力、技术和社会能力利用不足的问题。然后,通过由工业化国家和发展中国家的不同行为者设计和实施的以投资为导向的气候战略,激活这些能力,就可以实现气候中和。将全球温室气体排放降至净零的困难是巨大的;哈塞尔曼计划有望在这方面取得重大进展。
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来源期刊
Journal of Physics Complexity
Journal of Physics Complexity Computer Science-Information Systems
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
45
审稿时长
14 weeks
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