Drought monitoring performance of global precipitation products in three wet seasons in Ethiopia: Part I—Quasi-objective examination

Abstract

The need for representative and accurate climate data such as precipitation useful for drought monitoring has been rapidly increasing among policymakers and practitioners to tackle climate-change-induced drought events. Hence, the objective of this article is to evaluate the drought monitoring performance of global precipitation products for the three wet seasons and rainfall regions in Ethiopia. Drought indices were calculated using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) at 3-month timescale for Belg (March–May) and Autumn (September–November) seasons and at 4-month timescale for the Kiremt (June–September) seasons. Data products were evaluated for their accuracy in representing drought magnitude, geographical coverage and frequency using quasi-objective (visual inspection), and frequency and correlation analysis methods. The performance of gridded precipitation products was compared against the SPI value computed for 126 reference stations and the Ethiopian satellite-gauge merged precipitation data. Precipitation products showed different levels of performance in representing the magnitude, frequency and geographical coverage of drought events for the three wet seasons and rainfall regions. None of the data products outperformed in representing the occurrence of drought for all three wet seasons and the corresponding three rainfall regions. However, the Ethiopian merged precipitation, Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) and Climate Hazard Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) precipitation products are relatively better than others. The study results generally indicate that no single data outperform the other precipitation products in representing the complex spatiotemporal characteristics of drought events in a mountainous region like Ethiopia.