The recent development of storm surge modeling in Taiwan

Tso-Ren Wu , Yu-Lin Tsai , Chuen-Teyr Terng
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Storm surge is an important issue in Taiwan because our country is located at the typhoon prone area and surrounded by the Pacific Ocean and the Taiwan Strait. People live at coastal areas need to pay attention to the damages of storm surge, especially the inundation during typhoon’s duration. Therefore, the accurate and highly efficient operational storm surge system is required to provide not only the information of water elevations but also potential inundation areas. The large computational domain should be adopted to cover the complete typhoon life-cycle, and the atmospheric model and tidal model are expected to be coupled inside. COMCOT-SS (COrnell Multi-grid Coupled Tsunami Model – Storm Surge) fulfils above-mentioned requirements and solves nonlinear shallow water equations with multi-scale wave propagations and inundation calculation. In this study, 2015 category-5 Typhoon Soulik is chosen for model validation, and the results are in a good agreement with observed data. Coastal inundation induced by Typhoon Soulik is also simulated to study the variation of storm tides and tides. By a series of strict validations and operational experiments, COMCOT storm surge operational system has been the official forecasting model at Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan since July, 2016, and has successfully predicted the storm surges induced by 2016 category-5 Typhoon Nepartak.

台湾风暴潮模拟的最新发展
由于我国地处台风多发区,又被太平洋和台湾海峡所包围,风暴潮是台湾的一个重要问题。生活在沿海地区的人们需要关注风暴潮的危害,特别是台风持续期间的淹没。因此,准确高效的风暴潮系统不仅需要提供水位信息,还需要提供潜在淹没区域信息。应采用大计算域覆盖整个台风生命周期,并期望大气模式和潮汐模式在其中耦合。COMCOT-SS (COrnell Multi-grid Coupled Tsunami Model - Storm Surge)满足上述要求,通过多尺度波浪传播和淹没计算来求解非线性浅水方程。本研究选取2015年5级台风苏力克进行模型验证,结果与观测数据吻合较好。模拟了台风苏力引起的沿海淹没,研究了风暴潮和潮汐的变化。COMCOT风暴潮预报系统经过一系列严格的验证和操作实验,自2016年7月起成为台湾中央气象局官方风暴潮预报模式,成功预报了2016年5级台风“尼伯特”引发的风暴潮。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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