The Value Dimension of Public Opinion in Ukraine During the Full Scale War and Its Role for Post-War Reconstruction

S. Dembitskyi, Roman Kyrychenko, S. Salnikova, M. Sydorov
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Abstract

The article is devoted to the relevance of the social values of liberal-democratic societies during the war, their structural features, and their role in the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine. The corresponding values include safety, diversity, selectivity, normativity, freedom, equality, order, stability, development, independence, and strength. The empirical part of the study is based on the results of an online survey conducted in July 2022. The sample size is 2,350 respondents (women – 51,3 %, men – 48,7 %, average age – 37,3 years). The structure of the sample repeats the structure of the urban population of Ukraine aged 18 to 55 at the beginning of the war in settlements with 50 thousand inhabitants or more for all regions, except the following groups:              1) population on the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions temporarily occupied at the beginning of the war, as well as AR Crimea; 2) population on other territories of Luhansk region; 3) population on the territories of Kherson region. The ranking of societal values (Condorcet method) was established: safety (80,5 %), strength (63,8 %), order (61,3 %), normativity (58,9 %), equality (53,6 %), liberty (48,4 %), stability (44,0 %), independence  (37,4 %), development (35,6 %), diversity (34,1 %), selectivity (32.3 %). Two clusters are identified in the structure of societal values. The first includes order, safety, diversity, selectivity, normativity, liberty, and equality. In general, this value cluster emphasizes the need for internal balance, which is a fundamental guarantee of national resilience during a large-scale war, as it preserves the ability of society to generate additional resources needed by the state. The second value cluster includes strength, development, independence, and stability. This substructure is related to that part of national resilience responsible for responding to external crises and challenges. Forecasts were made regarding the priority relevance of almost all societal values in the period of post-war reconstruction: 1) safety due to the damage caused by the war to the population and territories of Ukraine; 2) strength due to the successes of Ukraine in the defense and diplomatic spheres; 3) order due to the inadmissibility of cleavage narratives in society; 4) normativity due to the request for implementation of the rule of law; 5) equality due to the need for support of broad sections of the population from the state; 6) liberty due to the need of gradual easing of restrictions that arose due to the war; 7) stability due to the constant demand for it in peacetime; 8) development due to its fundamental importance for the national subjectivity of Ukraine;              9) diversity due to modern landmarks of civilizational development;      10) selectivity due to the need for effective management decisions.
全面战争时期乌克兰民意的价值维度及其对战后重建的作用
这篇文章致力于在战争期间自由民主社会的社会价值的相关性,他们的结构特征,以及他们在乌克兰战后重建中的作用。相应的价值观包括安全、多样性、选择性、规范性、自由、平等、秩序、稳定、发展、独立和力量。该研究的实证部分基于2022年7月进行的一项在线调查的结果。样本量为2,350名受访者(女性- 51.3%,男性- 48.7%,平均年龄- 37.3岁)。样本的结构重复了乌克兰在战争开始时18至55岁的城市人口的结构,在所有地区有5万居民或以上的定居点,除了以下群体:1)顿涅茨克和卢甘斯克地区的人口在战争开始时暂时被占领,以及克里米亚自治共和国;2)卢甘斯克州其他领土上的人口;3)赫尔松地区的人口。建立社会价值观排序(孔多塞法):安全(805%)、力量(63,8%)、秩序(61,3%)、规范性(58.9%)、平等(53,6%)、自由(48.4%)、稳定(44.0%)、独立(37.4%)、发展(35.6%)、多样性(34.1%)、选择性(32.3%)。在社会价值结构中可以确定两类。第一种包括秩序、安全、多样性、选择性、规范性、自由和平等。总的来说,这个价值集群强调内部平衡的必要性,这是大规模战争期间国家恢复力的基本保证,因为它保留了社会产生国家所需额外资源的能力。第二个价值集群包括实力、发展、独立和稳定。这个子结构与负责应对外部危机和挑战的国家复原力部分有关。对战后重建期间几乎所有社会价值的优先相关性进行了预测:1)由于战争对乌克兰人口和领土造成的破坏而导致的安全;2)由于乌克兰在国防和外交领域的成功而获得的实力;3)社会不允许分裂叙事的秩序;(4)因实施法治要求而产生的规范性;5)由于需要国家支持广大人口而实现的平等;(6)由于需要逐步放宽因战争而产生的限制而获得的自由;7)稳定,因为在和平时期对它的需求不断;8)发展,因为它对乌克兰的民族主体性具有根本性的重要性;9)现代文明发展地标的多样性;10)由于需要有效的管理决策而产生的选择性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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