Which Forecasting Models Are Employed in The Shipping Industry? Identifying Key Themes and Future Directions Through an Integrative Review

IF 0.7 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MARINE
C. S. Fışkın, A. Cerit
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Developing accurate forecasting models provides the capability of handling the uncertain, volatile, and complex nature of the shipping industry. The outcome of the forecasts directly affects the decisions of policymakers. In this case, numerous forecasting studies have been published over time and rapid development has been evolved to reach accurate forecasts. This paper reviews both analytical and empirical studies by categorizing forecasting themes for shipping. The focus is threefold: to examine the developed forecasting models, to analyse the employed specific features and to evaluate the data characteristics, used variables, forecasting methods and models, and model features. Furthermore, a future agenda and implications to the industry are proposed. The findings are considered to provide information that is useful for researchers and practitioners who are involved in the forecasting process of the shipping industry.
航运业采用哪些预测模型?通过综合评价确定关键主题和未来方向
开发准确的预测模型可以处理航运业的不确定性、波动性和复杂性。预测的结果直接影响决策者的决策。在这种情况下,随着时间的推移,已经发表了大量的预测研究,并进行了快速发展,以达到准确的预测。本文通过对航运预测主题的分类,回顾了分析和实证研究。重点有三个方面:检查已开发的预测模型,分析所使用的特定特征,并评估数据特征、所使用的变量、预测方法和模型以及模型特征。此外,还提出了未来的议程和对该行业的影响。这些发现被认为为参与航运业预测过程的研究人员和从业者提供了有用的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Maritime Engineering (IJME) provides a forum for the reporting and discussion on technical and scientific issues associated with the design and construction of commercial marine vessels . Contributions in the form of papers and notes, together with discussion on published papers are welcomed.
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