A multiparameter radiomic model for accurate prognostic prediction of glioma

Yan Li, Li Bao, Caiwei Yang, Zhenglong Deng, Xin Zhang, Pin Xu, Xiaorui Su, Fanxin Zeng, Mir Q. U. Mehrabi, Qiang Yue, Bin Song, Qiyong Gong, Su Lui, Min Wu
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Abstract

An accurate prediction of prognosis is important for clinical treatments of glioma. In this study, a multiparameter radiomic model is proposed for accurate prognostic prediction of glioma. Three kinds of region of interest were extracted from preoperative postcontrast T1-weighted images and T2 fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images acquired from 140 glioma patients. Radiomics score (Radscore) was calculated and the conventional image features and clinical molecular characteristics that may be related to progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated. Five uniparameter and various combinations of biparameter and multiparameter models based on above characteristics were built. The performance of these models was evaluated by concordance index (C index), and the nomogram of the multiparameter radiomic model was constructed. The results show that the proposed multiparameter radiomic model has a better prediction performance than other models. In the training and validation sets, the calibration curves of the multiparameter radiomic model for the 1-, 2-, and 3-year PFS probability demonstrate a high consistence between predictions and observations. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that the multiparameter radiomic model based on Radscore, conventional image features and clinical molecular characteristics can improve the prediction accuracy of glioma prognosis, which could be informative for individualized treatments.

Abstract Image

用于胶质瘤准确预后预测的多参数放射学模型
准确预测胶质瘤的预后对临床治疗具有重要意义。在这项研究中,提出了一个多参数放射学模型,以准确预测胶质瘤的预后。从140例胶质瘤患者术前对比t1加权图像和T2液体衰减反演恢复图像中提取3种感兴趣的区域。计算放射组学评分(Radscore),并评估可能与无进展生存期(PFS)相关的常规图像特征和临床分子特征。基于上述特点,建立了5个单参数模型和多种双参数、多参数组合模型。采用一致性指数(C指数)对模型的性能进行了评价,并构建了多参数放射学模型的模态图。结果表明,所提出的多参数放射学模型具有较好的预测性能。在训练集和验证集中,多参数辐射模型对1年、2年和3年PFS概率的校准曲线在预测和观测之间表现出较高的一致性。综上所述,本研究表明基于Radscore、常规影像特征和临床分子特征的多参数放射学模型可以提高胶质瘤预后预测的准确性,为个性化治疗提供信息。
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