Intrastate Armed Conflict Termination and Foreign Direct Investment

IF 1.7 2区社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Foreign Policy Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-16 DOI:10.1093/FPA/ORAA027

Daehee Bak, Hoon Lee

引用次数: 5

Abstract

Does intrastate conflict termination increase foreign direct investment (FDI)? Why do some countries receive rapid FDI inflows after an internal armed conflict ends, while others do not? As a key explanation, we focus on the different types of conflict termination that send different signals to foreign investors. We argue that post-conflict countries receive more FDI when an intrastate conflict ends in a decisive manner because decisive termination lowers the risk of conflict resumption that creates precarious investment climates. Using the UCDP armed conflict termination data from 1970 to 2009, we empirically find that countries emerging from an intrastate conflict that ends in one side's victory, in particular government victory, and that ends in a peace agreement with major power involvement attract more FDI over the course of post-conflict years.

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终止国内武装冲突与外国直接投资

国内冲突的终止会增加外国直接投资吗?为什么一些国家在国内武装冲突结束后迅速获得外国直接投资流入，而另一些国家却没有?作为一个关键的解释，我们关注不同类型的冲突终止向外国投资者发出不同的信号。我们认为，当国内冲突以决定性的方式结束时，冲突后国家会获得更多的外国直接投资，因为决定性的结束降低了冲突恢复的风险，从而造成不稳定的投资环境。利用1970年至2009年的UCDP武装冲突终止数据，我们实证地发现，从国内冲突中崛起的国家，以一方的胜利(特别是政府的胜利)结束，并以大国参与的和平协议结束，在冲突后的几年里吸引了更多的外国直接投资。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Foreign Policy Analysis INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

9.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： Reflecting the diverse, comparative and multidisciplinary nature of the field, Foreign Policy Analysis provides an open forum for research publication that enhances the communication of concepts and ideas across theoretical, methodological, geographical and disciplinary boundaries. By emphasizing accessibility of content for scholars of all perspectives and approaches in the editorial and review process, Foreign Policy Analysis serves as a source for efforts at theoretical and methodological integration and deepening the conceptual debates throughout this rich and complex academic research tradition. Foreign policy analysis, as a field of study, is characterized by its actor-specific focus. The underlying, often implicit argument is that the source of international politics and change in international politics is human beings, acting individually or in groups. In the simplest terms, foreign policy analysis is the study of the process, effects, causes or outputs of foreign policy decision-making in either a comparative or case-specific manner.