Analysis of the Death Risk of Covid-19 Patients Using Extended Cox model

Cyndy Romarizka, M. Fatekurohman, I. Tirta
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Abstract

Globally, in 2021, there were 170,051,718 COVID-19 cases and 3,540,437 patients who died. The high mortality rate of patients infected with COVID-19 gives an idea to research the analysis of the factors that influence the death of Covid-19 patients. The data used in this study is data on Covid-19 patients obtained from the Mexican Government, with response variables namely time and status and predictor variables, namely patient laboratory results in the form of a history of illness that has been suffered by Covid-19 patients so that they adopt the extended model to evaluate the data. The data in this study are heterogeneous and large in number so that data clustering is carried out into 3 clusters, namely low emergency clusters, medium emergency clusters and high emergency clusters using K-means clustering. Because the study could not find the factors that influence the death of Covid-19 patients, two clusters were chosen, namely the medium emergency cluster and the high emergency cluster. So that the factors that influence the death of Covid-19 patients in the medium emergency cluster are sorted by the highest hazard ratio, namely pneumonia, old age, renal chronic, diabetes, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), immune system, hypertension, cardiovascular, obesity, gender, and asthma. In the high emergency cluster, sorted by the highest hazard ratio is the immune system, renal chronic, cardiovascular, COPD, tobacco, hypertension, obesity, gender, and pneumonia.
新冠肺炎患者死亡风险的扩展Cox模型分析
2021年,全球共有170051718例新冠肺炎病例和3540437名患者死亡。新冠肺炎患者的高死亡率为研究影响新冠肺炎患者死亡的因素提供了思路。本研究中使用的数据是从墨西哥政府获得的新冠肺炎患者数据,包括反应变量,即时间和状态,以及预测变量,即新冠肺炎患者病史形式的患者实验室结果,以便他们采用扩展模型来评估数据。本研究中的数据是异构的,数量很大,因此使用K-means聚类将数据聚类为3个聚类,即低应急聚类、中应急聚类和高应急聚类。由于该研究无法找到影响新冠肺炎患者死亡的因素,因此选择了两个集群,即中等紧急集群和高紧急集群。因此,影响中等急救集群中新冠肺炎患者死亡的因素按最高危险比排序,即肺炎、老年、慢性肾脏病、糖尿病、慢性阻塞性肺病(COPD)、免疫系统、高血压、心血管、肥胖、性别和哮喘。在高危人群中,按最高风险比排序的是免疫系统、肾脏慢性病、心血管疾病、慢性阻塞性肺病、烟草、高血压、肥胖、性别和肺炎。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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