Статистический анализ финансового состояния банковского сектора

О Г Третьякова, Т. И. Чинаева
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Purpose of the study. The aim of the work is to study the state of the banking sector of the country based on the analysis of the main indicators, characterizing banking activity in modern  conditions, studying the main factors, affecting the financial result of banks. An important direction in analyzing the banking sector is to  determine its reliability and sustainability. Reliability, stability of the  country’s banking system is largely determined by the financial  performance of banks. In the paper, the main tendencies of  development of the banking sector are considered, based on  economic and statistical methods the analysis of its financial state is  carried out. The work is based on dynamic, structural, factor analysis of analytical and statistical information about the processes, taking place in this field. Materials and methods. Information base of the research is statistical data and analytical information reflecting the financial  activity of the banking sector. The methodological basis for the study is statistical methods of data analysis: comparative and structural  analysis, dynamics, and correlation-regression analysis. Results. The main indicators of the bank resource base and efficiency of its use are considered. The main trends of changes in  the structure of bank liabilities and assets are analyzed, and the  analysis of the ratios of loans and deposits is given. Financial  analysis of the state of the banking sector involves studying factors  that affect the activities of banking institutions. It is important not  only to determine the factors themselves, but also the degree of  their impact on the results of the bank’s work. For this purpose, the  paper used correlation-regression analysis, on the basis of which the main factors that influenced the financial result of the banking  system in 2016 were studied. Сonclusion. The analsis showed that customers borrow the largest share in the structure of the passive base of the Russian banking sector. For the period, considered in the paper, deposits of  individuals and corporate clients increased. The share of loans and  deposits received from the Bank of Russia declined, while the share  of loans and deposits received from other credit institutions grew at  the same time. Thus, in the structure of liabilities, the funds of the Bank of Russia are replaced by other, market sources. As a positive  trend, we can note the growth of profits and funds of credit  institutions in the liabilities of the banking sector. The main direction  of using banking assets is lending to the economy. In the structure  of assets, the share of loans and other loans was about 70%. In  2016, the volume of loans granted to the economy as a whole,  decreased  by 3%. Overall, for the period under review, the total  revenues of the banking sector decreased by 4.9%. The main factor  in reducing revenues was their significant reduction from operations  with foreign currency. The correlation-regression analysis of the  factors influencing the formation of the profit of the banking sector  showed that the most significant value is the volume of loans.  Quantitative measurement of the influence of this factor is the basis  for further analysis of the financial sector of the economy,  construction of forecast calculations.
银行业财务统计分析
研究目的。这项工作的目的是在分析主要指标的基础上研究该国银行业的状况,表征现代条件下的银行活动,研究影响银行财务业绩的主要因素。分析银行业的一个重要方向是确定其可靠性和可持续性。国家银行系统的可靠性和稳定性在很大程度上取决于银行的财务表现。本文考虑了我国银行业发展的主要趋势,运用经济学和统计学方法对我国银行的财务状况进行了分析。这项工作是基于对该领域发生的有关过程的分析和统计信息的动态、结构和因素分析。材料和方法。研究的信息基础是反映银行业金融活动的统计数据和分析信息。研究的方法论基础是数据分析的统计方法:比较和结构分析、动力学和相关回归分析。后果考虑了银行资源基础及其使用效率的主要指标。分析了银行负债和资产结构变化的主要趋势,并对贷款和存款比率进行了分析。对银行业状况的财务分析包括研究影响银行机构活动的因素。重要的是,不仅要确定这些因素本身,还要确定它们对银行工作结果的影响程度。为此,本文采用相关回归分析方法,在此基础上研究了影响2016年银行系统财务业绩的主要因素。结论。分析显示,客户借贷在俄罗斯银行业被动基础结构中所占份额最大。论文认为,在此期间,个人和企业客户的存款有所增加。从俄罗斯银行获得的贷款和存款份额下降,而从其他信贷机构获得的贷款与存款份额同时增长。因此,在负债结构中,俄罗斯银行的资金被其他市场来源所取代。作为一个积极的趋势,我们可以注意到信贷机构的利润和资金在银行业负债中的增长。使用银行资产的主要方向是向经济放贷。在资产结构中,贷款和其他贷款的份额约为70%。2016年,对整个经济体的贷款量下降了3%。总体而言,在本报告所述期间,银行业的总收入下降了4.9%。收入下降的主要因素是其外币业务的大幅减少。对影响银行业利润形成因素的相关回归分析表明,最显著的价值是贷款量。定量测算这一因素的影响,是进一步分析金融部门经济建设预测计算的基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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