The sustainability of social care in Slovakia: Modelling the existing network of residential social facilities for future senior populations

IF 1.8 2区社会学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY

Moravian Geographical Reports Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI:10.2478/mgr-2022-0005

Janetta Nestorová Dická, Patrícia Gurová

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract The possible availability of residential long-term care for seniors in the regions of Slovakia in the period to 2040 is evaluated in this contribution. The study identifies risk in the availability of residential care concerning the future development of the senior population. To highlight the potential risk for regions, three model projections are used. A factor analysis with two-by-two classifications was employed to identify the risk in the regions in terms of the availability of residential care. Due to the expanding senior population in Slovakia, maintaining the current capacity of residential facilities would significantly deteriorate the availability of social services. If the current ratio of residential care capacity to the size of the senior population is maintained, the number of beds will have to increase by 56% by 2040. Demographic ageing is a current challenge for public policy and requires searching for solutions to ensure the quality of social care for the elderly in every society. Our research shows that the risk in the regions of Slovakia varies depending on the existing capacity of residential facilities and the forecasted senior population.

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斯洛伐克社会护理的可持续性:为未来的老年人口模拟现有的住宅社会设施网络

在斯洛伐克地区的住宅长期护理的可能可用性期间至2040年评估在这方面的贡献。该研究确定了住宅护理的可用性与老年人口未来发展的风险。为了突出区域的潜在风险，使用了三个模式预估。采用二乘二分类的因素分析来确定各地区在住宿护理可得性方面的风险。由于斯洛伐克的老年人口不断增加，维持目前的住宅设施能力将大大恶化提供社会服务的情况。如果安老院舍的护理能力与老年人口的比例维持在目前的水平，到2040年，病床数量将必须增加56%。人口老龄化是当前公共政策面临的一项挑战，需要寻求解决办法，以确保每个社会对老年人的社会护理质量。我们的研究表明，斯洛伐克地区的风险取决于居住设施的现有能力和预测的老年人口。

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来源期刊

Moravian Geographical Reports GEOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

4.10

自引率

4.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Moravian Geographical Reports je mezinárodní časopis, publikovaný v anglickém jazyce od roku 1993 Ústavem geoniky Akademie věd ČR. Publikuje příspěvky geografů a odborníků příbuzných disciplin včetně geověd a geoekologie, které mají výraznou regionální orientaci. Základní otázku, před níž stojí v současné době tito odborníci, lze položit následovně: „Jaká je úloha regionů a lokalit v globalizované společnosti, daném geografickém měřítku a jak ji můžeme hodnotit?“