POPULATION AGEING AND WELFARE DISSIMILARITIES WITHIN THE EUROPEAN UNION: A NEW APPROACH BASED ON CLUSTER ANALYSIS

M. Cristea, G. Noja, Y. Thalassinos
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Abstract

The research aims to identify several dissimilarities between the European Union Member States (EU-27 MS) in terms of welfare and labour market dimensions under the sheer implications of the ageing phenomenon. The quantitative research methodology emphasizes the cluster analysis based on the Ward method, performed for the year 2018. Main results denote that only two countries (Denmark and Sweden) registered soaring performances, especially for the labour market credentials (particularly the employment rate and active policies). Other 10 EU-27 MS accounted medium performances in terms of well-being, but also the lowest achievements as regards the old dependency rate, the employment rate of persons aged 55-64 and the birth rate. This paper brings to the fore the keen need to redesign specific policies and tailored strategies by the responsible authorities and business representatives across the EU, in order to enhance achievements and new solutions for the difficulties brought by population ageing, with spillover effects on the labour market integration of older employees and overall economic welfare. The study stands out through the new integrative approach based on cluster analysis that underlines the dissimilarities between the EU member states, and the features of each group of countries, in a pre-settled framework, thus grasping the difficulties, but also the opportunities faced in terms of ageing and economic welfare.
欧盟内部人口老龄化与福利差异:基于聚类分析的新方法
这项研究旨在确定在老龄化现象的纯粹影响下,欧洲联盟成员国(欧盟27国)在福利和劳动力市场方面的几个不同之处。定量研究方法强调基于2018年进行的Ward方法的聚类分析。主要结果表明,只有两个国家(丹麦和瑞典)的表现飙升,特别是在劳动力市场资格(特别是就业率和积极政策)方面。其他10名欧盟27国MS在幸福感方面表现中等,但在老年抚养率、55-64岁人群的就业率和出生率方面成绩最低。这篇论文突出表明,欧盟各地的主管当局和企业代表迫切需要重新设计具体政策和量身定制的战略,以提高成就和新的解决方案,解决人口老龄化带来的困难,并对老年员工的劳动力市场一体化和整体经济福利产生溢出效应。该研究通过基于聚类分析的新综合方法脱颖而出,该方法在预先确定的框架内强调了欧盟成员国之间的差异以及每组国家的特点,从而抓住了困难,也抓住了老龄化和经济福利方面面临的机遇。
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