Relationship Between Growth and Unemployment in Petroleum Exporting Countries: Case of Congo

Idrys Fransmel Okombi
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Abstract

The purpose of this article is to examine relation between growth and unemployment in Congo. To this, the error correction model ARDL is used. The estimation results show the existence of relation significantly negative between growth and long term unemployment on the period 1991.Q1-2016.Q1. Such a result accounts an unemployment existence of a structural character in Congo. In this regard, the resolution of unemployment problem in Congo goes through the policies of the offer. In other words, the Congolese government must put in place policies aiming to increase productivity of production factors. To be specific, the government can favor the augmentation of a prospective GDP, urging companies with important manpower to invest, by an increase of productive public investment. Keywords : growth, employment, ARDL, Congo JEL Classification : E23, E24, C32, 055
石油输出国经济增长与失业的关系——以刚果为例
本文的目的是研究刚果经济增长与失业之间的关系。对此,采用了误差校正模型ARDL。估计结果表明,1991年1月1日至2016年1月1日期间,经济增长与长期失业之间存在显著负相关。这样的结果说明了刚果失业的结构性存在。在这方面,刚果失业问题的解决是通过提议的政策来实现的。换句话说,刚果政府必须制定旨在提高生产要素生产率的政策。具体来说,政府可以通过增加生产性公共投资,鼓励拥有重要人力的企业进行投资,从而提高预期GDP。关键词:增长,就业,ARDL,刚果JEL分类:E23, E24, C32, 055
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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