The unintended consequences of UN sanctions: A qualitative comparative analysis

IF 4 1区社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Contemporary Security Policy Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.1080/13523260.2022.2059226

Katharina L. Meissner, Patrick A. Mello

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引用次数: 4

Abstract

ABSTRACT Sanctions are widely used foreign policy tools in reaction to crises in world politics. Accordingly, literature on sanction effectiveness—their intended consequences—is abundant. Yet, fewer studies address the unintended consequences of restrictive measures. This is remarkable given that negative externalities are well documented. Our article explores this phenomenon by asking under which conditions sanctions yield negative externalities. We develop a theoretical conceptualization and explanatory framework for studying the unintended consequences of UN sanctions. Empirically, we draw on data from the rich, but scarcely used Targeted Sanctions Consortium and apply qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) to examine negative externalities of UN sanctions, complemented by illustrations from the cases Haiti and North Korea. The results document the existence of multiple pathways toward unintended consequences, highlighting the negative impact of comprehensive and long-lasting sanctions, as well as the ability of autocratic targets with economic means to persist unscathed from sanctions.

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联合国制裁的意外后果：定性比较分析

制裁是应对世界政治危机时广泛使用的外交政策工具。因此，关于制裁有效性——其预期后果——的文献非常丰富。然而，很少有研究涉及限制性措施的意外后果。鉴于负面外部性已被充分证明，这一点值得注意。我们的文章通过探讨制裁在什么条件下产生负外部性来探讨这一现象。我们为研究联合国制裁的意外后果制定了一个理论概念化和解释框架。从经验上看，我们利用来自富裕国家但很少使用目标制裁联盟的数据，并应用定性比较分析(QCA)来检验联合国制裁的负面外部性，并辅以海地和朝鲜的案例说明。调查结果表明，存在导致意外后果的多种途径，突出了全面和长期制裁的负面影响，以及拥有经济手段的专制目标在制裁中毫发无损的能力。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Contemporary Security Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

14.60

自引率

6.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： One of the oldest peer-reviewed journals in international conflict and security, Contemporary Security Policy promotes theoretically-based research on policy problems of armed conflict, intervention and conflict resolution. Since it first appeared in 1980, CSP has established its unique place as a meeting ground for research at the nexus of theory and policy. Spanning the gap between academic and policy approaches, CSP offers policy analysts a place to pursue fundamental issues, and academic writers a venue for addressing policy. Major fields of concern include: War and armed conflict Peacekeeping Conflict resolution Arms control and disarmament Defense policy Strategic culture International institutions. CSP is committed to a broad range of intellectual perspectives. Articles promote new analytical approaches, iconoclastic interpretations and previously overlooked perspectives. Its pages encourage novel contributions and outlooks, not particular methodologies or policy goals. Its geographical scope is worldwide and includes security challenges in Europe, Africa, the Middle-East and Asia. Authors are encouraged to examine established priorities in innovative ways and to apply traditional methods to new problems.