Gravity Model Approach: An Empirical Application with Implications for BRICS Countries

S. H. Wani
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Abstract

This article aims to identify the main determinants of annual export flow among BRICS countries through the estimation of panel data from 1992 to 2018. The estimated results suggest that gross domestic product (GDP) and trade openness among other factors can explain export flow among BRICS countries. The most important finding of the study is that the formation of BRICS has exercised a negative and significant impact on bilateral trade among member countries. This study also found that the intra-industry trade dominates the intra-BRICS trade. Finally, the study found that the geographical distance between countries might be a factor for impeding trade among member countries. Thus, this study highlights the importance of increasing economic cooperation among these countries in terms of developing infrastructure, signing of free trade agreement (FTA) and increasing people-to-people contacts. JEL Codes: F00, F15, C23, F13
引力模型方法:对金砖国家的实证应用
本文旨在通过对1992年至2018年面板数据的估计,确定金砖国家年度出口流量的主要决定因素。估算结果表明,国内生产总值(GDP)和贸易开放度等因素可以解释金砖国家之间的出口流动。该研究最重要的发现是,金砖国家的成立对成员国之间的双边贸易产生了负面和重大影响。本研究还发现,产业内贸易在金砖国家内部贸易中占主导地位。最后,研究发现,国家之间的地理距离可能是阻碍成员国之间贸易的一个因素。因此,这项研究强调了加强这些国家在发展基础设施、签署自由贸易协定和增加人与人之间联系方面的经济合作的重要性。JEL代码:F00、F15、C23、F13
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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