Evaluation of Interest Rate Policies in Creating Financial Stability and Price Stability in Indonesia

A. Algifari, Haryono Subiyakto, Astuti Purnamawati
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Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the interest rate policy (rediscount policy) by Bank Indonesia to create financial stability and price stability in Indonesia. This research used data on the SBI interest rate, exchange rate of rupiah to US dollar, inflation rate, and money supply in Indonesia from January 2014 to December 2021. The econometric model to test the research hypothesis is the structural equation model - partial least square. The results showed that the interest rate instrument to create financial stability in Indonesia was appropriate because the interest rate had a negative impact on the exchange rate. It means that if desired exchange rate will decrease (the rupiah appreciated) it can be done by increasing the interest rate. However, the policy of raising the interest rate can cause the inflation rate to rise. Because the interest rate has a positive effect on the inflation rate. The money supply can mediate the effect of the interest rate on the inflation rate in Indonesia.
利率政策对印尼金融稳定和物价稳定的影响评估
本研究旨在评估印尼银行的利率政策(再贴现政策),以创造印尼的金融稳定和价格稳定。这项研究使用了2014年1月至2021年12月印尼SBI利率、卢比兑美元汇率、通货膨胀率和货币供应量的数据。检验研究假设的计量经济模型是偏最小二乘结构方程模型。结果表明,在印度尼西亚创造金融稳定的利率工具是合适的,因为利率对汇率有负面影响。这意味着,如果期望的汇率下降(卢比升值),可以通过提高利率来实现。然而,提高利率的政策可能会导致通货膨胀率上升。因为利率对通货膨胀率有积极影响。货币供应量可以调节利率对印尼通货膨胀率的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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