Terrorism and Tourism

IF 2 Q2 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM

Tourism Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI:10.37741/t.70.1.2

Mustafa Göktuğ Kaya, Stephen Taiwo Onifade, Ayhan Akpınar

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引用次数: 8

Abstract

The booming tourism sector in Turkey has resulted in major economic gains in terms of direct revenues to both government and private sectors alike. Turkey had more than 45 million visits in 2018, and top inbound arrivals were from Russia and European Union (EU) members, such as Germany, the United Kingdom, and Bulgaria, among others (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development [OECD], 2020). However, terrorism is becoming a challenge to tourism development. This study explores terrorism–tourism dynamics in Turkey. The short- and long-run impacts of terror attacks on tourism revenues were examined within the framework of an autoregressive lag (ARDL) model using monthly data for the period between 2012 and 2018. The empirical findings did not support terrorism's effects on tourism revenues. However, in the long run, terror-related casualties and fatalities on tourism revenues had different effects. The findings affirm that the casualty rate has a stronger impact on terrorism–tourism dynamics in Turkey because a 1% increase in reported injuries from terror attacks hampers revenues by approximately 0.1%. Hence, adequate and continuous support for general security establishments is imperative while strengthening commitments to the international cooperation on the war against terrorism to proactively contain the undesirable impacts of terrorism in the Turkish tourism industry,

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恐怖主义与旅游业

土耳其蓬勃发展的旅游业为政府和私营部门带来了直接收入方面的重大经济收益。2018年，土耳其的游客人数超过4500万人次，入境人数最多的是俄罗斯和德国、英国、保加利亚等欧盟成员国(经济合作与发展组织，2020年)。然而，恐怖主义正在成为旅游业发展的挑战。本研究探讨了土耳其的恐怖主义旅游动态。利用2012年至2018年期间的月度数据，在自回归滞后(ARDL)模型框架内研究了恐怖袭击对旅游收入的短期和长期影响。实证研究结果不支持恐怖主义对旅游收入的影响。然而，从长远来看，与恐怖主义有关的伤亡和死亡对旅游收入有不同的影响。研究结果证实，土耳其的伤亡率对恐怖主义旅游动态的影响更大，因为恐怖袭击中报告的受伤人数每增加1%，收入就会减少约0.1%。因此，必须对一般安全机构提供充分和持续的支持，同时加强对反恐战争国际合作的承诺，积极遏制恐怖主义对土耳其旅游业的不良影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Tourism HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

17.60%

发文量

审稿时长

24 weeks

期刊介绍： Journal TOURISM is an international academic and professional quarterly which welcomes articles on various aspects of travel and tourism. Th e journal emphasises the broadness and interrelatedness of the tourism sector. Manuscripts submitted to the Journal can be processed quickly if they are prepared according to the following guidelines. Manuscripts will be returned to the author with a set of instructions if they are not submitted according to our style guide. No contribution will be accepted which has been published elsewhere, unless it is specifi cally invited or agreed by the Editor.