Effects of Climatic Variability on Cassava Production in Nigeria

F. Sowunmi
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Abstract

Climate change has brought about irregularity in pattern and intensity of climatic variables such as rainfall and temperature that are important in crop production; making planning in agriculture difficult. The importance of cassava in the diet of Nigerian and its industrial use necessitate the need to examine the effects of climatic variability on cassava production. Secondary data obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) were used for the study. Analysis of Variance and Error Correction model were utilized.  The study showed that the rainforest zone had the highest averages of annual rainfall (1709mm) and relative humidity (82.1%) while the Sahel savannah had the highest mean annual temperature (35.3oC). The variability in annual rainfall and relative humidity was low in the rainforest zone. The study showed that the rainforest zone had the least dispersion of average annual relative humidity (2.06%) while the guinea savannah had highest dispersion (4.68%). The average cassava output from the agro-ecological zones was 49,118,871MT per year. Rainforest and guinea savannah accounted for 56.3% and 41.9% of total cassava output respectively. There were significant variations in the climatic variables (rainfall and temperature) among the agro-ecological zones but not significant among the years (p>0.05).  The annual rainfall and solar radiation were the factors that influenced cassava output in all the agro-ecological zones. The need for affordable irrigation by cassava farmers and the adoption of Climate-Smart Agriculture are recommended to boost cassava production in Sudan savannah and Sahel savannah.
气候变化对尼日利亚木薯生产的影响
气候变化导致气候变量的模式和强度不规则,如对作物生产至关重要的降雨量和温度;使得农业规划变得困难。木薯在尼日利亚人饮食中的重要性及其工业用途需要研究气候变化对木薯生产的影响。研究使用了从尼日利亚气象局(NIMET)获得的二次数据。采用方差分析和误差修正模型。研究表明,热带雨林的年平均降雨量(1709mm)和相对湿度(82.1%)最高,而萨赫勒大草原的年平均温度(35.3摄氏度)最高。热带雨林地区的年降雨量和相对湿度变化较小。研究表明,热带雨林区的年均相对湿度分布最小(2.06%),几内亚稀树草原区的年均平均相对湿度分布最高(4.68%),农业生态区的平均木薯产量为49118871MT。雨林和几内亚草原分别占木薯总产量的56.3%和41.9%。气候变量(降雨量和温度)在农业生态区之间存在显著差异,但在年份之间不显著(p>0.05)。年降雨量和太阳辐射是影响所有农业生态区木薯产量的因素。建议木薯农民需要负担得起的灌溉,并采用气候智能农业,以提高苏丹大草原和萨赫勒大草原的木薯产量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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