Legalizing China's Economic Coercion Toolkit

R. O’Brien
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Abstract

China is in the late stages of developing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), which is essentially a digital, sovereign currency lacking convertibility to physical cash. This initiative is a significant innovation in currency systems, not yet implemented by any other country. China will face unique challenges in its CBDC project. As a first mover in this space, Chinese leaders are no longer able to study the suc-cesses and failures of other nations who have previously attempted to launch a CBDC. Yet, Beijing leadership may draw on experiences from its own prior reforms and governance challenges. This article will high-light three governance principles, developed through the reforms of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries, that will give Beijing a unique advantage as a first mover in the CBDC race: (1) dual-track transi-tion systems, (2) regional experimentation, and (3) rapid construction of regulatory systems. This paper hopes to show how China is taking a distinct approach to the initiative compared to competing states, an approach that is engrained in China’s governance experience since the late 1970s. In conclusion, I argue that China’s recent experience in a variety of transformation initiatives provides its leadership and insti-tutions unique principles that will advantage China’s CBDC project, especially when compared to competitors working to establish their own CBDC such as the United States and European Union.
中国经济胁迫工具包合法化
中国正处于开发央行数字货币(CBDC)的后期阶段,该货币本质上是一种缺乏实物现金可兑换性的数字主权货币。这一举措是货币体系的一项重大创新,其他任何国家都尚未实施。中国的CBDC项目将面临独特的挑战。作为这一领域的先行者,中国领导人再也无法研究此前试图发射CBDC的其他国家的成功与失败。然而,北京的领导层可能会从自己之前的改革和治理挑战中汲取经验。这篇文章将重点阐述在二十世纪和二十一世纪的改革中发展起来的三项治理原则,这将使北京在CBDC竞赛中成为先行者,具有独特的优势:(1)双轨输电系统,(2)区域试验,以及(3)监管系统的快速建设。本文希望表明,与竞争国家相比,中国是如何采取独特的举措的,这种做法植根于中国自20世纪70年代末以来的治理经验中。最后,我认为,中国最近在各种转型举措中的经验为其领导和机构提供了独特的原则,这将有利于中国的CBDC项目,尤其是与美国和欧盟等致力于建立自己的CBDC的竞争对手相比。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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