Fact-checking Trump’s election lies can improve confidence in U.S. elections: Experimental evidence

C. Bailard, Ethan Porter, Kimberly Gross
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

As the 2020 campaign unfolded, with a mix of extraordinary embellishments and outright falsehoods, President Trump’s attacks on the integrity of the U.S. electoral system grew louder and more frequent. Trump-aligned Republican candidates have since advanced similar false claims in their own campaigns in the lead-up to the 2022 midterm elections. Scholars, election officials, and even fellow Republican leaders have voiced concerns that Trump’s rhetoric represents a profound threat to the well-being of U.S. democracy. To investigate the capacity for fact-checking efforts to repair the damage incurred by election-related misinformation, in the weeks before the 2020 election, we fielded a survey experiment on a nationally representative sample to test whether exposure to fact-checks of Trump’s false claims increased participants’ confidence in the integrity of the U.S. election and affected their voting behavior. Although our pre-registered analysis offered no evidence that corrections affect voting behavior, our findings do show that exposure to these fact-checks can increase confidence in the integrity of the 2020 U.S. election. However, the effects varied significantly by partisanship, with these changes concentrated among Democrats and Independents.
事实核查特朗普的选举谎言可以提高人们对美国选举的信心:实验证据
随着2020年竞选活动的展开,特朗普总统对美国选举制度完整性的攻击越来越大,也越来越频繁。在2022年中期选举之前,与特朗普结盟的共和党候选人在自己的竞选活动中提出了类似的虚假主张。学者、选举官员,甚至共和党领导人都表示担心,特朗普的言论对美国民主的福祉构成了严重威胁。为了调查事实核查工作的能力,以修复2020年大选前几周与选举有关的错误信息造成的损害,我们在一个具有全国代表性的样本上进行了一项调查实验,以测试对特朗普虚假言论的事实核查是否会增加参与者对美国大选完整性的信心,并影响他们的投票行为。尽管我们的预先注册分析没有提供任何证据表明更正会影响投票行为,但我们的研究结果确实表明,接触这些事实核查可以增强人们对2020年美国大选完整性的信心。然而,党派之间的影响差异很大,这些变化集中在民主党人和无党派人士中。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
20.70
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