Escape from Politics: Is There a Future for Youth Political Protests in Siberia and the Far East?

Dmitry A. Kazantsev
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Abstract

In the last few years, great attention has been paid to the protest potential of students, especially in the context of the mass protests of 2021-2022, which happened at both federal and regional levels. An important scientific issue, which is of practical importance for public authorities and politicians, is determining the motivations and actualization of the student protest movements, as the most organized segment of the youth environment. Based on the results of 14 focus groups held in 8 border regions of Siberia and the Far East (including the Altai Krai, the Zabaykalsky Krai, the Primorsky Krai and the Khabarovsk Krai, the Omsk Oblast, as well as Tyva, Buryatia and Altai Republics) as well as the analysis of the social media and blogosphere of the mentioned regions, the author suggests that the students experience fears, weariness, and disappointment. However, the factors actualizing the protest moods are highly limited. Actual precedents and threats of criminal prosecution that have been applied to the political activists by the government since 2019, as well as the pressure from the authorities and the socialization agents, lead to the demoralization of the youth and their refusal to participate not only in protests but also in pro-government events.
逃离政治:西伯利亚和远东的青年政治抗议有未来吗?
在过去的几年里,学生的抗议潜力受到了极大的关注,尤其是在2021-2022年的大规模抗议活动中,这场抗议活动发生在联邦和地区层面。一个对公共当局和政治家具有实际重要性的重要科学问题是,作为青年环境中最有组织的部分,决定学生抗议运动的动机和实现。基于在西伯利亚和远东的8个边境地区(包括阿尔泰边疆区、扎巴依卡尔斯基边疆区、滨海边疆区和哈巴罗夫斯克边疆区、鄂木斯克州以及泰瓦、布里亚特和阿尔泰共和国)举行的14个焦点小组的结果,以及对上述地区的社交媒体和博客圈的分析,疲惫和失望。然而,实现抗议情绪的因素是非常有限的。自2019年以来,政府对政治活动家施加的实际先例和刑事起诉威胁,以及来自当局和社会化代理人的压力,导致年轻人士气低落,他们不仅拒绝参加抗议活动,还拒绝参加亲政府活动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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