Spectator Age and Periodic Changes in Game Viewership: An Application of Positivity and Life-Span Theory in the National Football League

IF 0.5 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM
Scott Tainsky, Jie Xu
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Abstract

This study examines the factors that influence sport broadcast viewership, explor-ing the relationship between spectator age, time remaining in the season, and team success. We identify the determinants of demand for two different age groups— youth and older adults—and analyze differences in the impact of team quality and playoff probability on viewership during midseason games and those during the stretch run of the season. Ordinary least squares models are used to estimate the effects and Wald tests to establish differences between groups. Our models show local team quality increased viewership by a greater margin for youth than older adults for midseason games as well as those during the stretch run. By contrast, only adult viewership increased in response to increased playoff probability, and only during the stretch run. The combination of results presents some ambiguity with respect to applying the conventional wisdom on the dynamics of age, time horizon, and positivity in the sport context.
观众年龄与比赛观众的周期性变化——实证与寿命理论在全国足球联赛中的应用
本研究探讨影响体育转播收视率的因素,探讨观众年龄、赛季剩余时间与球队成功之间的关系。我们确定了两个不同年龄组(年轻人和老年人)的需求决定因素,并分析了球队质量和季后赛概率对赛季中期比赛和赛季后期比赛收视率的影响差异。使用普通最小二乘模型来估计效果,并使用Wald检验来确定组间差异。我们的模型显示,在赛季中期和常规赛期间,本地球队的质量提高对年轻人的收视率比老年人的收视率提高得更多。相比之下,只有成年人的收视率会随着季后赛可能性的增加而增加,而且只有在延长期间才会增加。结合结果提出了一些模糊方面的应用传统智慧的动态年龄,时间范围,和积极的运动背景。
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Journal of Applied Sport Management
Journal of Applied Sport Management HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
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