What Kind of Future is Humanity Consigned to by the Scientific and Technological Progress?

Q3 Arts and Humanities
A. Nikiforov
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Abstract

In recent decades, more and more works have appeared, the authors of which are trying to predict possible scenarios for the future development of mankind. This article discusses 5 such scenarios: F. Fukuyama believes that all peoples and countries of the globe in the XXI century will develop in the direction of building a liberal-democratic society; Representatives of the Club of Rome in their latest report, based on statistical data of industrial development, substantiate the idea that by the middle of the XXI century. the Earth’s biosphere will become unsuitable for human life and humanity will begin to die out; representatives of the transhumanist movement in their “Manifesto” set themselves the goal of replacing the human biological body with an artificial body by 1245 and thereby saving people from diseases, from old age and even from death itself; English economist D. Susskind in his book “The Future Without Jobs” predicts that in the next two to three decades, robots and artificial intelligence will force people out of all areas of production and discusses the question of how people who are deprived of the opportunity to work will live; Finally, the Israeli historian Yu.N. Harari in his extensive work “Homo Deus” paints a picture of the fact that scientific and technological progress will turn “reasonable man” into “divine man” in the near future. Assessing all these scenarios for the future development of mankind, one involuntarily comes to the conclusion that they all speak of the death of mankind in the near future.
科技进步给人类带来怎样的未来?
近几十年来,出现了越来越多的作品,作者试图预测人类未来发展的可能场景。本文讨论了五个这样的情景:F.福山认为,二十一世纪世界各国人民将朝着建设自由民主社会的方向发展;罗马俱乐部的代表在其最新的报告中,根据工业发展的统计数据,证实了到21世纪中叶的想法。地球的生物圈将变得不适合人类生活,人类将开始消亡;跨人类主义运动的代表在他们的《宣言》中为自己设定了到1245年用人造身体取代人体的目标,从而使人们免于疾病、老年甚至死亡;英国经济学家D.Susskind在其著作《没有工作的未来》中预测,在未来二三十年,机器人和人工智能将迫使人们离开所有生产领域,并讨论了被剥夺工作机会的人将如何生活的问题;最后,以色列历史学家Yu.N.Harari在他的大量著作《人类》中描绘了一幅事实,即科学技术进步将在不久的将来把“理性的人”变成“神圣的人”。在评估人类未来发展的所有这些情景时,人们不由自主地得出结论,它们都在谈论人类在不久的将来的死亡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
RUDN Journal of Philosophy
RUDN Journal of Philosophy Arts and Humanities-Philosophy
CiteScore
0.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
55
审稿时长
12 weeks
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