IS BITCOIN AN OPPORTUNITY OR A THREAT TO THE RELEVANCE OF ACCOUNTING INFORMATION?

Ronan Reis Marçal, Bruno Prata Chacon, L. Flach
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Abstract

Positive accounting research is the one that addresses the informational perspective of accounting (Watts & Zimmerman, 1990). In this scenario, studies on the relevance of accounting information in the capital market stands out. Some of these surveys consider the effects of firms’ extrinsic variables on the ability of accounting information to predict stock prices. Considering the apparent inverse relationship between Bitcoin and the capital markets, being this cryptocurrency able to be used as hedge for investors in these markets (Bouri et al., 2017), the purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of the Bitcoin price in the market value of the companies listed on the [B]³ in conjunction with the accounting information. Panel data regressions were performed considering the stock price and return as dependent variables and Net Income, Equity and Bitcoin quotation as regressors. From 356 observations concerning 89 different companies, it was possible to verify, with a 95% confidence level, that the companies’ market value is negatively influenced by Bitcoin’s price increase. This suggests a preference for investments in the cryptocurrency market over the capital market when the first one is on the rise, corroborating Bouri et al. (2017). In addition, Equity loses significance and Net Income is reduced when Bitcoin is included in the model, indicating a potential risk to accounting information in terms of relevance. The research has limitations regarding the use of a single cryptocurrency in the face of several existing ones and also in the selection of only one exercise as sample cut.Keywords: Blockchain; Bitcoin; Value Relevance; Stock Market.DOI: https://doi.org/10.21714/2446-9114RMC2020v21n1t04
比特币对会计信息的相关性是机遇还是威胁?
积极的会计研究是一个解决会计的信息视角(Watts & Zimmerman, 1990)。在这种情况下,对资本市场会计信息相关性的研究就显得尤为突出。其中一些调查考虑了公司外部变量对会计信息预测股价能力的影响。考虑到比特币与资本市场之间明显的反比关系,作为一种加密货币,比特币可以作为这些市场投资者的对冲(Bouri等人,2017),本研究的目的是结合会计信息分析比特币价格对[B]³上市公司市值的影响。以股票价格和收益为因变量,净收益、股票和比特币报价为回归变量,进行面板数据回归。从对89家不同公司的356项观察中,我们可以以95%的置信度验证,这些公司的市场价值受到比特币价格上涨的负面影响。这表明,当第一个市场上升时,对加密货币市场的投资优于资本市场,这证实了Bouri等人(2017)。此外,当比特币被纳入模型时,权益失去了重要性,净收入减少,表明会计信息在相关性方面存在潜在风险。该研究在面对几种现有加密货币时使用单一加密货币以及仅选择一种练习作为样本切割方面存在局限性。关键词:区块链;比特币;价值相关性;股票市场。DOI: https://doi.org/10.21714/2446 - 9114 rmc2020v21n1t04
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