Eviction and Voter Turnout: The Political Consequences of Housing Instability

IF 4.1 2区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Politics & Society Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI:10.1177/00323292211050716

Gillian Slee, Matthew Desmond

引用次数: 2

Abstract

In recent years, housing costs have outpaced incomes in the United States, resulting in millions of eviction filings each year. Yet no study has examined the link between eviction and voting. Drawing on a novel data set that combines tens of millions of eviction and voting records, this article finds that residential eviction rates negatively impacted voter turnout during the 2016 presidential election. Results from a generalized additive model show eviction’s effect on voter turnout to be strongest in neighborhoods with relatively low rates of displacement. To address endogeneity bias and estimate the causal effect of eviction on voting, the analysis treats commercial evictions as an instrument for residential evictions, finding that increases in neighborhood eviction rates led to substantial declines in voter turnout. This study demonstrates that the impact of eviction reverberates far beyond housing loss, affecting democratic participation.

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驱逐和选民投票率:住房不稳定的政治后果

近年来，美国的住房成本超过了收入，导致每年有数百万人申请驱逐。然而，没有任何研究考察驱逐和投票之间的联系。根据一个结合了数千万驱逐和投票记录的新数据集，本文发现，在2016年总统选举期间，住宅驱逐率对选民投票率产生了负面影响。广义加法模型的结果表明，在流离失所率相对较低的社区，驱逐对选民投票率的影响最强。为了解决内生性偏见并估计驱逐对投票的因果影响，该分析将商业驱逐视为住宅驱逐的工具，发现社区驱逐率的提高导致选民投票率大幅下降。这项研究表明，驱逐的影响远远超出了住房损失，影响了民主参与。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Politics & Society Multiple-

CiteScore

5.00

自引率

4.20%

发文量

期刊介绍： Politics & Society is a peer-reviewed journal. All submitted papers are read by a rotating editorial board member. If a paper is deemed potentially publishable, it is sent to another board member, who, if agreeing that it is potentially publishable, sends it to a third board member. If and only if all three agree, the paper is sent to the entire editorial board for consideration at board meetings. The editorial board meets three times a year, and the board members who are present (usually between 9 and 14) make decisions through a deliberative process that also considers written reports from absent members. Unlike many journals which rely on 1–3 individual blind referee reports and a single editor with final say, the peers who decide whether to accept submitted work are thus the full editorial board of the journal, comprised of scholars from various disciplines, who discuss papers openly, with author names known, at meetings. Editors are required to disclose potential conflicts of interest when evaluating manuscripts and to recuse themselves from voting if such a potential exists.