Ukrainian dual use export control evolution: historical pickles

Egor Kartuzov
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Abstract

A prime object of this effort was to evaluate the premises of appearance and historical evolution of export control and transfer of dual use (DU) technologies emerged in Ukraine after 1991. Investigated problem: Liquidation of Soviet's monopoly on foreign trade in 1990s, a change in relations between the state and commodity producers, and a massive entry of unprepared exporters chasing maximum profits into the world market could not be envisaged in a full swing at that time by young and unexperienced Ukrainian export control system. The paper looks into Ukrainian DU technology transfer (TT) through a prism of historical premises. Those premises have been formed and are still found standing amongst technology offeror/end user and other TT players. Needless to say, that a technology transfer is a complicated, multi-leveled and multi-players process being impacted and followed with few factors and historically pre-set conditions that constrain its success or failure at the end. The development of DU technologies continues in a quagmire of conflicting interests, the ongoing war in Ukraine, national security and export control rationales. For the time being, debates on Ukrainian DU technologies and their misuse so far lack creativity and rather blurred; political and diplomatic initiatives came finally to nowhere trying to find turnkey solutions, all this is quite a challenge nowadays. The results of this analytical endeavor make a further solid floor for further debates in terms of politics, legislation and export control
乌克兰军民两用出口管制演变:历史咸菜
这项工作的主要目的是评估1991年后乌克兰出现的双重用途技术出口管制和转让的出现和历史演变的前提。调查的问题:20世纪90年代苏联对外贸易垄断的清算,国家和商品生产商之间关系的改变,以及追求最大利润的毫无准备的出口商大规模进入世界市场,这些都是当时年轻而经验不足的乌克兰出口管制系统无法想象的。本文从历史前提的角度探讨了乌克兰DU技术转让问题。这些前提已经形成,并且仍然存在于技术提供者/最终用户和其他TT参与者之间。不用说,技术转让是一个复杂的、多层次的、多参与者的过程,受到影响和遵循的因素很少,历史上预设的条件也很少,这些条件最终会限制技术转让的成败。DU技术的发展仍处于利益冲突、乌克兰持续战争、国家安全和出口管制理由的泥潭中。目前,关于乌克兰DU技术及其滥用的辩论缺乏创造性,而且相当模糊;试图找到一揽子解决方案的政治和外交举措最终不了了之,所有这一切在当今都是一个相当大的挑战。这项分析工作的结果为政治、立法和出口管制方面的进一步辩论奠定了坚实的基础
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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