Losses because of risk attitudes or time preference: off-farm cold storage and intertemporal marketing of apple growers in China

IF 2.4 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Shaoze Jin, X. Jia, H. James
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Abstract

PurposeThis paper aims to explore the relationship between prudence in risk attitudes and patience of time preference of Chinese apple growers regarding off-farm cold storage of production and marketing in non-harvest seasons. The authors also consider the effect of farmer participation in cooperative-like organizations known as Farm Bases (FBs).Design/methodology/approachThe authors use multiple list methods and elicitation strategies to measure Chinese apple farmers' risk attitudes and time preferences. Because these farmers can either sell their apples immediately to supermarkets or intermediaries or place them in storage, the authors assess correlations between their storage decisions and their preferences regarding risk and time. The authors also differentiate risks involving gains and losses and empirically examine individual risk attitudes in different scenarios.FindingsMarketing decisions are moderately associated with risk attitudes but not time preference. Farmers with memberships in local farmer cooperatives are likely to speculate more in cold storage. Thus, risk aversion behavioral and psychological motives affect farmers' decision-making of cold storage and intertemporal marketing activities. However, membership in cooperatives does not always result in improved income and welfare for farmers.Research limitations/implicationsThe research confirms that behavioral factors may strongly drive vulnerable smallholder farmers to speculate into storage even under seasonal and uncertain marketing volatility. There is the need to think deeper about the rationale of promoting cooperatives and other agricultural forms, because imposing these without careful consideration can have negative impacts.Originality/valueDo risk and time preferences affect the decision of farmers to utilize storage facilities? This question is important because it is not clear if and how risk preferences affect the tradeoff between consuming today and saving for tomorrow, especially for farmers in developing countries.
风险态度或时间偏好造成的损失:中国苹果种植者的农场外冷藏和跨期营销
目的探讨中国苹果种植户在非收获季节的风险态度审慎性与时间偏好耐心之间的关系。作者还考虑了农民参与合作型组织农场基地(FBs)的影响。设计/方法/方法作者使用多重列表法和启发策略来测量中国苹果农的风险态度和时间偏好。由于这些农民可以立即将苹果卖给超市或中介机构,也可以将苹果储存起来,因此作者评估了他们的储存决策与他们对风险和时间的偏好之间的相关性。作者还区分了涉及收益和损失的风险,并对不同情景下的个人风险态度进行了实证检验。营销决策与风险态度有一定的关系,但与时间偏好无关。拥有当地农民合作社会员资格的农民可能会在冷库中进行更多投机。由此可见,风险规避行为动机和心理动机影响着农户对冷藏和跨期营销活动的决策。然而,加入合作社并不总是能提高农民的收入和福利。研究的局限性/启示研究证实,行为因素可能强烈地驱使脆弱的小农投机储存,即使在季节性和不确定的市场波动下。有必要更深入地思考促进合作社和其他农业形式的理由,因为不经仔细考虑就强行推行这些形式可能会产生负面影响。风险和时间偏好影响农民使用仓储设施的决策?这个问题很重要,因为目前还不清楚风险偏好是否以及如何影响今天消费和明天储蓄之间的权衡,特别是对发展中国家的农民来说。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
37.50%
发文量
58
期刊介绍: The Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies publishes double-blind peer-reviewed research on issues relevant to agriculture and food value chain in emerging economies in Asia, Africa, Latin America and Eastern Europe. The journal welcomes original research, particularly empirical/applied, quantitative and qualitative work on topics pertaining to policies, processes, and practices in the agribusiness arena in emerging economies to inform researchers, practitioners and policy makers
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