Predicting the Future of Protected Areas in the Region of the Highest Population Density in Sub-Saharan Africa

IF 1.2 4区农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY

Journal of Sustainable Forestry Pub Date : 2021-07-15 DOI:10.1080/10549811.2021.1933538

Olivier Clement Gatwaza, Xiangrong Wang

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引用次数: 3

Abstract

ABSTRACT The landscape surrounding protected areas (PAs) plays a big role in supporting the achievement of conservation goals. This paper examines demographic dynamics in the vicinity of Akagera National Park (ANP) both in time and space, considers its implication on land-use/land-cover (LULC) change of one of its neighboring districts, and involves the existing environmental planning policies to anticipate the fate of the ANP. Data retrieved from Rwanda Land Management and Use Authority (RLMUA) and from the National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda (NISR) were reinforced with field observation and Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements taken within Gatsibo district where the study was conducted and injected into a Geographic Information System (GIS) for mapping and analysis. Findings revealed that in the next 50 years, the increasing human settlement and associated social-economic needs will erase any remnant wildlife hotspots in the ‘Unrestricted zone’ of the district and reclaim intrusion in its ‘Restricted zone’ of which ANP is part. This raises imminent fear of growing cases of encroachment of human activities into illegal and high-risk zones and a possible second de-gazettement of the park. The reversal of this trend requires the implementation of the local LULC plan and the promotion of the ecological lifestyle.

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预测撒哈拉以南非洲人口密度最高地区保护区的未来

保护区周围的景观在支持保护目标的实现方面发挥着重要作用。本文研究了阿卡杰拉国家公园（ANP）附近的人口动态，包括时间和空间，考虑了其对邻近地区土地利用/土地覆盖（LULC）变化的影响，并涉及到现有的环境规划政策，以预测ANP的命运。从卢旺达土地管理和使用局（RLMUA）和卢旺达国家统计研究所（NISR）检索到的数据得到了加强，在进行研究的Gatsibo区进行了实地观测和全球定位系统（GPS）测量，并注入地理信息系统（GIS）进行测绘和分析。调查结果显示，在未来50年内，不断增加的人类住区和相关的社会经济需求将抹去该地区“无限制区”内任何残留的野生动物热点，并重新入侵ANP所在的“限制区”。这引发了人们对越来越多的人类活动侵占非法和高风险地区的担忧，并可能再次将公园除名。扭转这一趋势需要实施当地的LULC计划和推广生态生活方式。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Sustainable Forestry Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development

CiteScore

3.90

自引率

12.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Journal of Sustainable Forestry publishes peer-reviewed, original research on forest science. While the emphasis is on sustainable use of forest products and services, the journal covers a wide range of topics from the underlying biology and ecology of forests to the social, economic and policy aspects of forestry. Short communications and review papers that provide a clear theoretical, conceptual or methodological contribution to the existing literature are also included in the journal. Common topics covered in the Journal of Sustainable Forestry include: • Ecology, management, recreation, restoration and silvicultural systems of all forest types, including urban forests • All aspects of forest biology, including ecophysiology, entomology, pathology, genetics, tree breeding, and biotechnology • Wood properties, forest biomass, bioenergy, and carbon sequestration • Simulation modeling, inventory, quantitative methods, and remote sensing • Environmental pollution, fire and climate change impacts, and adaptation and mitigation in forests • Forest engineering, economics, human dimensions, natural resource policy, and planning Journal of Sustainable Forestry provides an international forum for dialogue between research scientists, forest managers, economists and policy and decision makers who share the common vision of the sustainable use of natural resources.